xgEdge

AC Sparta Praha's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

9 played this season

4 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss

9 pts 9–5 goals +4 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
7.89 – 4.36
1.97 – 1.09 per match
xGD
+3.53
+0.88 per match
xG record
4 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

9 pts 8.1 xPts

+0.9 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · Czech First League · Home

AC Sparta Praha's winning record is broadly supported by the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 4 of 4 matches, for +3.53 xG difference overall on 7.89–4.36. Their points total of 9 sits 0.9 above the model's 8.1 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results AC Sparta Praha are 0.86 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +1.40, against FK Teplice on Sat 15/08.

Points
9
xPts
8.14
Gap
+0.86
Fri 31/07 Sat 15/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 12/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.74 +1.40 -0.33 +0.86 +0.74 +0.66 -1.73 +1.19 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
AC Sparta Praha: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Fri 31/07 FC Zlín 3 2.26 +0.74 +0.74
Sat 15/08 FK Teplice 3 2.34 +0.66 +1.40
Sun 30/08 SK Slavia Praha 0 1.73 -1.73 -0.33
Sat 12/09 FK Jablonec 3 1.81 +1.19 +0.86

Scores and xG

AC Sparta Praha first

  • Home Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.32

    xGA 0.79

    xGD +0.53

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Jablonec, Sat 12/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.81
    Points minus xPts
    +1.19

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss against the chances

    xG 2.34

    xGA 1.83

    xGD +0.51

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Slavia Praha, Sun 30/08

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.73
    Points minus xPts
    -1.73

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.12

    xGA 0.82

    xGD +1.30

    4:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Teplice, Sat 15/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.34
    Points minus xPts
    +0.66

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.11

    xGA 0.92

    xGD +1.19

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zlín, Fri 31/07

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.26
    Points minus xPts
    +0.74

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →