Czech First League expected points table 2026/2027
Every Czech First League club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
SK Slavia Praha lead on expected points with 18.98 over 9 matches with xG. That is 1.84 clear of FC Slovan Liberec. Mladá Boleslav sit 11 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 3 against 14 on expected points. FK Pardubice sit 7 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 13 against 6 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Slavia Praha SKS | 9 | 23 | 18.98 | +4.02 | 1 | Same place as on expected points |
| 2 | FC Slovan Liberec FCS | 9 | 20 | 17.14 | +2.86 | 2 | Same place as on expected points |
| 3 | AC Sparta Praha ACS | 9 | 15 | 15.10 | −0.10 | 7 | 4 places below its expected-points rank |
| 4 | Viktoria Plzeň VIK | 9 | 10 | 14.47 | −4.47 | 10 | 6 places below its expected-points rank |
| 5 | FK Jablonec FKJ | 9 | 14 | 14.32 | −0.32 | 8 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 6 | FK Pardubice FKP | 9 | 8 | 13.11 | −5.11 | 13 | 7 places below its expected-points rank |
| 7 | SK Sigma Olomouc SKS | 9 | 16 | 12.48 | +3.52 | 4 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 8 | FC Zbrojovka Brno FCZ | 9 | 16 | 11.97 | +4.03 | 6 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 9 | FC Hradec Králové FCH | 9 | 14 | 11.15 | +2.85 | 9 | Same place as on expected points |
| 10 | Bohemians Praha 1905 BOH | 8 | 9 | 10.52 | −1.52 | 12 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 11 | FK Teplice FKT | 9 | 16 | 10.40 | +2.60 | 5 | 6 places above its expected-points rank |
| 12 | SK Líšeň SKL | 9 | 5 | 10.01 | −5.01 | 14 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava BAN | 9 | 10 | 9.19 | +0.81 | 11 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 14 | Mladá Boleslav MLA | 8 | 17 | 8.21 | +8.79 | 3 | 11 places above its expected-points rank |
| 15 | FC Zlín FCZ | 9 | 1 | 8.13 | −7.13 | 16 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 16 | 1. FC Slovácko FCS | 9 | 4 | 7.91 | −3.91 | 15 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
xG is available for 8 of 9 matches for FK Teplice. xG is available for 8 of 9 matches for FC Hradec Králové. For those clubs every expected figure counts only the matches with xG, and the goals it is compared with come from those same matches.
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.