What Lech Poznań have left to play in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
3 matches ahead in Ekstraklasa
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 3 matches ahead of Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa rates 2.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Favourable. 2 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 1.75 projected xG a match from them and 5.5 of the 9 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Legia Warszawa away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 46/99 and a defence rated 69/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
MKS Korona Kielce home Sun 18/10
Projected xG 1.99 – 0.97 Lech Poznań win 61%
Legia Warszawa away Sat 24/10
Projected xG 1.42 – 1.19 Lech Poznań win 41%
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Open the match page for Śląsk Wrocław
Sat 10/10 Away Śląsk Wrocław Ekstraklasa
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 28/99Projected xG 1.85 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.86- Śląsk Wrocław
- 20%
- Draw
- 26%
- Lech Poznań
- 53%
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Open the match page for MKS Korona Kielce
Sun 18/10 Home MKS Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 39/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.99 – 0.97 Projected xPts 2.07- Lech Poznań
- 61%
- Draw
- 24%
- MKS Korona Kielce
- 15%
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Open the match page for Legia Warszawa
Sat 24/10 Away Legia Warszawa Ekstraklasa
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.42 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.52- Legia Warszawa
- 29%
- Draw
- 31%
- Lech Poznań
- 41%
Ekstraklasa publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Ekstraklasa.
Fixture difficulty in Ekstraklasa
Reads each matchup for Lech Poznań: the band is cut from the model's chances of Lech Poznań winning and losing the match, so Lech Poznań's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 3 opponents
−0.09 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 3 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Ekstraklasa's average club, with no venue and nothing of Lech Poznań's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 3
−0.09 xG vs league average · over 3 fixtures
- Śląsk Wrocław Away −0.29
- MKS Korona Kielce Home −0.13
- Legia Warszawa Away +0.14
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Ekstraklasa and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.