Expected goals
Strømsgodset expected goals (xG) 2025/2026
Eliteserien · after 30 matches · updated 1 Oct
Strømsgodset's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Strømsgodset xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Aalesunds FK | 2.69 |
| #2 | Bodø/Glimt | 2.56 |
| #3 | Viking FK | 1.99 |
| #4 | SK Brann | 1.93 |
| #5 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.85 |
| #6 | Tromsø IL | 1.67 |
| #7 | Molde FK | 1.59 |
| #8 | Rosenborg BK | 1.54 |
| #9 | Sandefjord Fotball | 1.44 |
| #10 | Vålerenga IF | 1.43 |
| #11 | KFUM Oslo | 1.39 |
| #12 | Fredrikstad FK | 1.34 |
| #13 | Bryne FK | 1.32 |
| #14 | Strømsgodset | 1.30 |
| #15 | HamKam | 1.27 |
| #16 | Kristiansund BK | 1.18 |
| #17 | Haugesund | 0.83 |
- League avg
- 1.55
- Total
- 38.88 30 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 1.05 |
| #2 | SK Brann | 1.06 |
| #3 | KFUM Oslo | 1.06 |
| #4 | Viking FK | 1.14 |
| #5 | Tromsø IL | 1.16 |
| #6 | Aalesunds FK | 1.23 |
| #7 | Molde FK | 1.37 |
| #8 | Rosenborg BK | 1.43 |
| #9 | Fredrikstad FK | 1.54 |
| #10 | Bryne FK | 1.57 |
| #11 | Sandefjord Fotball | 1.57 |
| #12 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.63 |
| #13 | HamKam | 1.73 |
| #14 | Vålerenga IF | 1.77 |
| #15 | Kristiansund BK | 1.91 |
| #16 | Strømsgodset | 2.26 |
| #17 | Haugesund | 2.48 |
- League avg
- 1.55
- Total
- 67.72 30 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | +1.52 |
| #2 | Aalesunds FK | +1.46 |
| #3 | SK Brann | +0.88 |
| #4 | Viking FK | +0.86 |
| #5 | Tromsø IL | +0.51 |
| #6 | KFUM Oslo | +0.34 |
| #7 | Sarpsborg 08 | +0.23 |
| #8 | Molde FK | +0.22 |
| #9 | Rosenborg BK | +0.11 |
| #10 | Sandefjord Fotball | -0.13 |
| #11 | Fredrikstad FK | -0.20 |
| #12 | Bryne FK | -0.25 |
| #13 | Vålerenga IF | -0.34 |
| #14 | HamKam | -0.46 |
| #15 | Kristiansund BK | -0.73 |
| #16 | Strømsgodset | -0.96 |
| #17 | Haugesund | -1.65 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -28.84 30 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 2.16 |
| #2 | Aalesunds FK | 2.06 |
| #3 | SK Brann | 1.96 |
| #4 | Viking FK | 1.92 |
| #5 | Tromsø IL | 1.68 |
| #6 | KFUM Oslo | 1.60 |
| #7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.51 |
| #8 | Rosenborg BK | 1.47 |
| #9 | Molde FK | 1.46 |
| #10 | Sandefjord Fotball | 1.32 |
| #11 | Fredrikstad FK | 1.25 |
| #12 | Vålerenga IF | 1.21 |
| #13 | Bryne FK | 1.21 |
| #14 | HamKam | 1.14 |
| #15 | Kristiansund BK | 0.97 |
| #16 | Strømsgodset | 0.89 |
| #17 | Haugesund | 0.50 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 26.64 vs 20 actual pts
What the xG says
Strømsgodset's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Eliteserien. They rank #16 for xG difference at -0.96 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 37 goals are 1.88 below 38.88 xG, while 20 points are 6.64 below 26.64 xPts.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Strømsgodset are 1.88 goals below their xG after 30 matches.
- Goals
- 37
- xG
- 38.88
- Gap
- -1.88
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 29/03 | Rosenborg BK | 1 | 0.46 | +0.54 | +0.54 |
| Sun 06/04 | Haugesund | 5 | 3.46 | +1.54 | +2.08 |
| Thu 10/04 | SK Brann | 1 | 0.84 | +0.16 | +2.24 |
| Mon 21/04 | SK Brann | 1 | 3.17 | -2.17 | +0.07 |
| Sun 27/04 | Sarpsborg 08 | 3 | 1.63 | +1.37 | +1.44 |
| Sun 04/05 | Kristiansund BK | 1 | 2.19 | -1.19 | +0.25 |
| Fri 16/05 | Bryne FK | 0 | 1.05 | -1.05 | -0.80 |
| Sun 25/05 | Sandefjord Fotball | 2 | 0.69 | +1.31 | +0.51 |
| Sat 31/05 | HamKam | 0 | 0.96 | -0.96 | -0.45 |
| Sun 22/06 | KFUM Oslo | 0 | 0.55 | -0.55 | -1.00 |
| Sun 29/06 | Vålerenga IF | 0 | 0.61 | -0.61 | -1.61 |
| Sat 05/07 | Viking FK | 0 | 0.07 | -0.07 | -1.68 |
| Sun 13/07 | Tromsø IL | 2 | 1.22 | +0.78 | -0.90 |
| Sat 19/07 | Molde FK | 1 | 0.54 | +0.46 | -0.44 |
| Fri 25/07 | Fredrikstad FK | 2 | 0.89 | +1.11 | +0.67 |
| Wed 30/07 | Bodø/Glimt | 0 | 0.24 | -0.24 | +0.43 |
| Sun 03/08 | Haugesund | 2 | 2.82 | -0.82 | -0.39 |
| Fri 15/08 | Bodø/Glimt | 0 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.42 |
| Sun 24/08 | Bryne FK | 2 | 1.01 | +0.99 | +0.57 |
| Sun 31/08 | Molde FK | 3 | 1.57 | +1.43 | +2.00 |
| Sun 14/09 | HamKam | 2 | 1.24 | +0.76 | +2.76 |
| Sun 21/09 | Sarpsborg 08 | 2 | 2.23 | -0.23 | +2.53 |
| Sun 28/09 | Tromsø IL | 1 | 0.91 | +0.09 | +2.62 |
| Sun 05/10 | KFUM Oslo | 1 | 0.94 | +0.06 | +2.68 |
| Sun 19/10 | Fredrikstad FK | 0 | 2.78 | -2.78 | -0.10 |
| Sun 26/10 | Vålerenga IF | 1 | 0.46 | +0.54 | +0.44 |
| Sun 02/11 | Viking FK | 1 | 1.95 | -0.95 | -0.51 |
| Sun 09/11 | Kristiansund BK | 1 | 1.23 | -0.23 | -0.74 |
| Sat 22/11 | Sandefjord Fotball | 2 | 1.73 | +0.27 | -0.47 |
| Sun 30/11 | Rosenborg BK | 0 | 1.41 | -1.41 | -1.88 |
Strømsgodset xG trend
Current form -0.81 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 8 of 30 matches. The worst was against Bodø/Glimt on Fri 15/08 (-5.54).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.59
- npxGA · last 6
- 2.41
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 29/03 | Rosenborg BK | 0.46 | 2.23 | -1.77 | -1.77 |
| Sun 06/04 | Haugesund | 3.46 | 0.86 | +2.60 | +0.42 |
| Thu 10/04 | SK Brann | 0.84 | 2.47 | -1.63 | -0.27 |
| Mon 21/04 | SK Brann | 3.17 | 4.61 | -1.44 | -0.56 |
| Sun 27/04 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.63 | 2.01 | -0.38 | -0.52 |
| Sun 04/05 | Kristiansund BK | 2.19 | 2.25 | -0.06 | -0.45 |
| Fri 16/05 | Bryne FK | 1.05 | 0.76 | +0.29 | -0.34 |
| Sun 25/05 | Sandefjord Fotball | 0.69 | 3.92 | -3.23 | -0.70 |
| Sat 31/05 | HamKam | 0.96 | 2.46 | -1.50 | -0.79 |
| Sun 22/06 | KFUM Oslo | 0.55 | 1.91 | -1.36 | -0.85 |
| Sun 29/06 | Vålerenga IF | 0.61 | 2.27 | -1.66 | -0.92 |
| Sat 05/07 | Viking FK | 0.07 | 2.69 | -2.62 | -1.06 |
| Sun 13/07 | Tromsø IL | 1.22 | 2.76 | -1.54 | -1.10 |
| Sat 19/07 | Molde FK | 0.54 | 2.14 | -1.60 | -1.14 |
| Fri 25/07 | Fredrikstad FK | 0.89 | 2.37 | -1.48 | -1.16 |
| Wed 30/07 | Bodø/Glimt | 0.24 | 2.18 | -1.94 | -1.21 |
| Sun 03/08 | Haugesund | 2.82 | 0.86 | +1.96 | -1.02 |
| Fri 15/08 | Bodø/Glimt | 0.03 | 5.57 | -5.54 | -1.27 |
| Sun 24/08 | Bryne FK | 1.01 | 2.28 | -1.27 | -1.27 |
| Sun 31/08 | Molde FK | 1.57 | 1.03 | +0.54 | -1.18 |
| Sun 14/09 | HamKam | 1.24 | 1.02 | +0.22 | -1.11 |
| Sun 21/09 | Sarpsborg 08 | 2.23 | 1.28 | +0.95 | -1.02 |
| Sun 28/09 | Tromsø IL | 0.91 | 2.15 | -1.24 | -1.03 |
| Sun 05/10 | KFUM Oslo | 0.94 | 1.21 | -0.27 | -1.00 |
| Sun 19/10 | Fredrikstad FK | 2.78 | 2.07 | +0.71 | -0.93 |
| Sun 26/10 | Vålerenga IF | 0.46 | 2.50 | -2.04 | -0.97 |
| Sun 02/11 | Viking FK | 1.95 | 1.71 | +0.24 | -0.93 |
| Sun 09/11 | Kristiansund BK | 1.23 | 1.32 | -0.09 | -0.90 |
| Sat 22/11 | Sandefjord Fotball | 1.73 | 3.76 | -2.03 | -0.94 |
| Sun 30/11 | Rosenborg BK | 1.41 | 3.07 | -1.66 | -0.96 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.30 npxG and 2.26 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
- +0.07 xG vs league average
- Over 30 league matches
- Last 5
- number 12 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
- −0.05 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.07 xG vs league average · over 30 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16
- Rosenborg BK Away −0.07
- Sandefjord Fotball Home +0.03
- Kristiansund BK Away −0.48
- Viking FK Home +0.49
- Vålerenga IF Away −0.20
- Fredrikstad FK Home −0.16
- KFUM Oslo Home +0.36
- Tromsø IL Away +0.46
- Sarpsborg 08 Home −0.14
- HamKam Away −0.25
- Molde FK Home +0.37
- Bryne FK Away −0.16
- Bodø/Glimt Home +1.13
- Haugesund Home −1.01
- Bodø/Glimt Away +1.13
- Fredrikstad FK Away −0.16
- Molde FK Away +0.37
- Tromsø IL Home +0.46
- Viking FK Away +0.49
- Vålerenga IF Home −0.20
- KFUM Oslo Away +0.36
- HamKam Home −0.25
- Sandefjord Fotball Away +0.03
- Bryne FK Home −0.16
- Kristiansund BK Home −0.48
- Sarpsborg 08 Away −0.14
- SK Brann Home +0.69
- SK Brann Away +0.69
- Haugesund Away −1.01
- Rosenborg BK Home −0.07
Last 5
−0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 16
- Rosenborg BK Away −0.07
- Sandefjord Fotball Home +0.03
- Kristiansund BK Away −0.48
- Viking FK Home +0.49
- Vålerenga IF Away −0.20
Strømsgodset shots and chance quality
Average volume, low quality. Strømsgodset take 12.4 shots a match (league 13.0) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #10 in Eliteserien for volume and #14 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 67%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 18.4 |
| #2 | Viking FK | 15.8 |
| #3 | SK Brann | 15.0 |
| #4 | Aalesunds FK | 14.8 |
| #5 | Sandefjord Fotball | 14.3 |
| #6 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14.1 |
| #7 | Molde FK | 14.0 |
| #8 | Vålerenga IF | 13.9 |
| #9 | Rosenborg BK | 12.6 |
| #10 | Strømsgodset | 12.4 |
| #11 | HamKam | 12.0 |
| #12 | Tromsø IL | 11.9 |
| #13 | Fredrikstad FK | 11.3 |
| #14 | KFUM Oslo | 11.2 |
| #15 | Bryne FK | 10.8 |
| #16 | Kristiansund BK | 10.8 |
| #17 | Haugesund | 8.7 |
- League avg
- 13.0
- Total
- 373 shots from 30 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Aalesunds FK | 0.18 |
| #2 | Bodø/Glimt | 0.14 |
| #3 | Tromsø IL | 0.14 |
| #4 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0.13 |
| #5 | SK Brann | 0.13 |
| #6 | Viking FK | 0.13 |
| #7 | KFUM Oslo | 0.13 |
| #8 | Rosenborg BK | 0.12 |
| #9 | Bryne FK | 0.12 |
| #10 | Fredrikstad FK | 0.12 |
| #11 | Molde FK | 0.11 |
| #12 | Kristiansund BK | 0.11 |
| #13 | HamKam | 0.11 |
| #14 | Strømsgodset | 0.10 |
| #15 | Vålerenga IF | 0.10 |
| #16 | Sandefjord Fotball | 0.10 |
| #17 | Haugesund | 0.10 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 38.88 npxG from 373 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | KFUM Oslo | 8.5 |
| #2 | Bodø/Glimt | 9.3 |
| #3 | Aalesunds FK | 9.5 |
| #4 | SK Brann | 9.7 |
| #5 | Tromsø IL | 9.8 |
| #6 | Viking FK | 10.7 |
| #7 | Rosenborg BK | 12.0 |
| #8 | Molde FK | 12.2 |
| #9 | Bryne FK | 12.4 |
| #10 | Vålerenga IF | 13.7 |
| #11 | Sandefjord Fotball | 13.8 |
| #12 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14.3 |
| #13 | Fredrikstad FK | 14.4 |
| #14 | Kristiansund BK | 14.9 |
| #15 | HamKam | 15.5 |
| #16 | Strømsgodset | 16.9 |
| #17 | Haugesund | 18.6 |
- League avg
- 13.0
- Total
- 508 shots allowed from 30 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Viking FK | 0.11 |
| #2 | Fredrikstad FK | 0.11 |
| #3 | SK Brann | 0.11 |
| #4 | Aalesunds FK | 0.11 |
| #5 | HamKam | 0.11 |
| #6 | Molde FK | 0.11 |
| #7 | Bodø/Glimt | 0.11 |
| #8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0.11 |
| #9 | Sandefjord Fotball | 0.11 |
| #10 | Tromsø IL | 0.12 |
| #11 | Rosenborg BK | 0.12 |
| #12 | KFUM Oslo | 0.12 |
| #13 | Bryne FK | 0.13 |
| #14 | Kristiansund BK | 0.13 |
| #15 | Vålerenga IF | 0.13 |
| #16 | Haugesund | 0.13 |
| #17 | Strømsgodset | 0.13 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 67.72 npxGA from 508 shots
Shot profile
65% inside the box
League avg 67%
From 244 of 373 shots over 30 matches
68% allowed inside the box
League avg 67%
From 346 of 508 shots allowed over 30 matches
Strømsgodset home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| xG / match | 1.58 | 1.01 |
| xGA / match | 2.32 | 2.19 |
| xGD / match | -0.74 | -1.18 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.10 | 0.68 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Strømsgodset match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 30
- xG / match
- 1.30
- xGA / match
- 2.26
- xGD / match
- -0.96
- Points
- 20 of 90
- Sun 30/11 Rosenborg BK A xG 1.41 xGA 3.07 xGD -1.66 xPts 0.45
- Sat 22/11 Sandefjord Fotball H xG 1.73 xGA 3.76 xGD -2.03 xPts 0.39
- Sun 09/11 Kristiansund BK A xG 1.23 xGA 1.32 xGD -0.09 xPts 1.27
- Sun 02/11 Viking FK H xG 1.95 xGA 1.71 xGD +0.24 xPts 1.55
- Sun 26/10 Vålerenga IF A xG 0.46 xGA 2.50 xGD -2.04 xPts 0.18
- Sun 19/10 Fredrikstad FK H xG 2.78 xGA 2.07 xGD +0.71 xPts 1.84
- Sun 05/10 KFUM Oslo H xG 0.94 xGA 1.21 xGD -0.27 xPts 1.11
- Sun 28/09 Tromsø IL A xG 0.91 xGA 2.15 xGD -1.24 xPts 0.53
- Sun 21/09 Sarpsborg 08 H xG 2.23 xGA 1.28 xGD +0.95 xPts 2.05
- Sun 14/09 HamKam A xG 1.24 xGA 1.02 xGD +0.22 xPts 1.53
- Sun 31/08 Molde FK H xG 1.57 xGA 1.03 xGD +0.54 xPts 1.80
- Sun 24/08 Bryne FK A xG 1.01 xGA 2.28 xGD -1.27 xPts 0.53
- Fri 15/08 Bodø/Glimt H Weakest underlying xG 0.03 xGA 5.57 xGD -5.54 xPts 0.00
- Sun 03/08 Haugesund H xG 2.82 xGA 0.86 xGD +1.96 xPts 2.58
- Wed 30/07 Bodø/Glimt A xG 0.24 xGA 2.18 xGD -1.94 xPts 0.16
- Fri 25/07 Fredrikstad FK A xG 0.89 xGA 2.37 xGD -1.48 xPts 0.43
- Sat 19/07 Molde FK A xG 0.54 xGA 2.14 xGD -1.60 xPts 0.32
- Sun 13/07 Tromsø IL H xG 1.22 xGA 2.76 xGD -1.54 xPts 0.47
- Sat 05/07 Viking FK A xG 0.07 xGA 2.69 xGD -2.62 xPts 0.05
- Sun 29/06 Vålerenga IF H xG 0.61 xGA 2.27 xGD -1.66 xPts 0.31
- Sun 22/06 KFUM Oslo A xG 0.55 xGA 1.91 xGD -1.36 xPts 0.40
- Sat 31/05 HamKam H xG 0.96 xGA 2.46 xGD -1.50 xPts 0.44
- Sun 25/05 Sandefjord Fotball A xG 0.69 xGA 3.92 xGD -3.23 xPts 0.08
- Fri 16/05 Bryne FK H xG 1.05 xGA 0.76 xGD +0.29 xPts 1.60
- Sun 04/05 Kristiansund BK H xG 2.19 xGA 2.25 xGD -0.06 xPts 1.35
- Sun 27/04 Sarpsborg 08 A xG 1.63 xGA 2.01 xGD -0.38 xPts 1.11
- Mon 21/04 SK Brann H xG 3.17 xGA 4.61 xGD -1.44 xPts 0.74
- Thu 10/04 SK Brann A xG 0.84 xGA 2.47 xGD -1.63 xPts 0.38
- Sun 06/04 Haugesund A Best underlying xG 3.46 xGA 0.86 xGD +2.60 xPts 2.75
- Sat 29/03 Rosenborg BK H xG 0.46 xGA 2.23 xGD -1.77 xPts 0.23
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 5.57. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Strømsgodset in Eliteserien
Attack
- xG / match #14 of 17
- Shots / match #10 of 17
- Chance quality #14 of 17
- Home xG #11 of 20
- Away xG #15 of 20
Defence
- xGA / match #16 of 17
- Shots allowed #16 of 17
- Chance quality allowed #17 of 17
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.