AFC Ajax 2:2 SC Heerenveen: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 16/08/2026 at 16:45

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

AFC Ajax Home 2.00 xG · 24 shots

SC Heerenveen Away 1.36 xG · 14 shots

22 AFC Ajax had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

7' Bernt Klaverboer (o.g.) AFC Ajax · 0.15 xG chance 1–0
33' Abdellah Ouazane AFC Ajax · 0.05 xG chance 2–0
45' Jacob Trenskow SC Heerenveen · 0.09 xG chance 2–1
82' Maxence Rivera SC Heerenveen · 0.29 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

AFC Ajax SC Heerenveen

Shots: 24; 14
On target: 5; 8
Inside the box: 16; 9
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.87; 1.33
Set-piece xG: 0.25; 0.05
Penalties: —; —

AFC Ajax's shots add up to 2.12 xG and SC Heerenveen's to 1.38; the published figures are 2.00 and 1.36.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

38 shots · 3.50 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

AFC Ajax
SC Heerenveen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AFC Ajax

1.73 xG created 1.13 xGA

W 2.29 created, 1.63 conceded against NAC Breda
D 0.95 created, 1.80 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 1.86 created, 1.61 conceded against SC Heerenveen
W 1.83 created, 0.16 conceded against FC Groningen
D 1.47 created, 0.96 conceded against FC Utrecht
W 1.97 created, 0.59 conceded against PEC Zwolle

SC Heerenveen

1.32 xG created 1.60 xGA

W 2.03 created, 0.90 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
W 1.64 created, 1.49 conceded against FC Volendam
L 1.00 created, 1.86 conceded against NAC Breda
D 1.61 created, 1.86 conceded against AFC Ajax
L 1.26 created, 2.08 conceded against FC Utrecht
W 0.40 created, 1.41 conceded against FC Twente

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AFC Ajax: 0 won · 2 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.