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Saturday, 25/04/2026 at 20:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

NAC Breda 0:2 AFC Ajax

NAC Breda Home 1.63 xG
AFC Ajax Away 2.29 xG
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

NAC Breda AFC Ajax
Shots
21
8
On target
3
6
Inside the box
11
6
xG per shot
0.08
0.29

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
NAC Breda

0.80 xG created 1.23 xGA

  • L 0.36 created, 1.24 conceded against SC Telstar
  • D 1.03 created, 1.64 conceded against Feyenoord
  • L 1.13 created, 1.56 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 1.04 created, 0.82 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • D 0.51 created, 0.55 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • D 0.75 created, 1.59 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
AFC Ajax

1.38 xG created 1.19 xGA

  • D 0.33 created, 1.09 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • L 1.86 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Groningen
  • W 3.02 created, 0.19 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • D 0.21 created, 1.37 conceded against Feyenoord
  • L 0.94 created, 1.37 conceded against FC Twente
  • W 1.92 created, 1.19 conceded against Heracles Almelo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

NAC Breda: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.