Excelsior 2:2 AFC Ajax: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 12:15

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior Home 0.80 xG

AFC Ajax Away 0.63 xG

22 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

Excelsior AFC Ajax

Shots: 11; 9
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 6; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Excelsior

1.30 xG created 1.98 xGA

L 1.98 created, 3.92 conceded against FC Groningen
W 1.71 created, 1.18 conceded against PEC Zwolle
L 0.50 created, 2.30 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 1.48 created, 1.44 conceded against SC Telstar
D 1.12 created, 1.85 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 0.99 created, 1.20 conceded against FC Twente

AFC Ajax

2.15 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 1.01 created, 2.18 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
W 1.25 created, 1.89 conceded against Feyenoord
D 2.02 created, 2.05 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 1.74 created, 0.77 conceded against SC Telstar
D 3.43 created, 0.86 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
W 3.44 created, 0.31 conceded against FC Volendam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Excelsior: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

AFC Ajax 1:2 Excelsior 22/11/2025 xG 1.30 – 0.43

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.