Excelsior 2:2 SC Telstar: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 20:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior Home 1.48 xG

SC Telstar Away 1.44 xG

22 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

Excelsior SC Telstar

Shots: 13; 16
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 8; 7
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Excelsior

1.24 xG created 1.90 xGA

L 1.85 created, 1.01 conceded against Heracles Almelo
W 0.43 created, 1.30 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 0.95 created, 1.67 conceded against NAC Breda
L 1.98 created, 3.92 conceded against FC Groningen
W 1.71 created, 1.18 conceded against PEC Zwolle
L 0.50 created, 2.30 conceded against PSV Eindhoven

SC Telstar

1.27 xG created 1.55 xGA

D 1.29 created, 0.94 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 1.57 created, 1.59 conceded against Feyenoord
D 0.71 created, 1.97 conceded against Heracles Almelo
D 1.82 created, 2.34 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 1.48 created, 0.73 conceded against NAC Breda
L 0.77 created, 1.74 conceded against AFC Ajax

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Excelsior: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

SC Telstar 2:2 Excelsior 01/11/2025 xG 3.10 – 2.97

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.