Fortuna Sittard 1:1 Heracles Almelo: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 18:45

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard Home 1.71 xG

Heracles Almelo Away 0.57 xG

11 Fortuna Sittard had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Fortuna Sittard Heracles Almelo

Shots: 23; 6
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 15; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fortuna Sittard

1.24 xG created 1.46 xGA

W 1.47 created, 0.77 conceded against FC Volendam
L 1.07 created, 1.08 conceded against Excelsior
L 1.20 created, 1.77 conceded against FC Groningen
L 0.73 created, 2.03 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
W 1.78 created, 1.49 conceded against SC Heerenveen
D 1.17 created, 1.65 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam

Heracles Almelo

1.56 xG created 1.59 xGA

L 0.60 created, 1.30 conceded against FC Twente
L 0.19 created, 2.67 conceded against Feyenoord
L 1.16 created, 1.54 conceded against FC Volendam
W 3.78 created, 1.20 conceded against PEC Zwolle
W 1.01 created, 1.85 conceded against Excelsior
W 2.62 created, 0.98 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.