Heracles Almelo 1:2 AZ Alkmaar: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 14/09/2025 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo Home 1.37 xG

AZ Alkmaar Away 2.59 xG

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Heracles Almelo AZ Alkmaar

Shots: 19; 25
On target: 6; 8
Inside the box: 8; 13
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.10

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heracles Almelo

0.64 xG created 2.34 xGA

L 0.82 created, 1.98 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 1.09 created, 3.03 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
L 0.18 created, 2.75 conceded against AFC Ajax
L 0.48 created, 1.59 conceded against FC Groningen

AZ Alkmaar

1.91 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 1.44 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Groningen
D 1.46 created, 0.47 conceded against FC Volendam
W 2.82 created, 1.96 conceded against NAC Breda

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.