PEC Zwolle 2:2 NEC Nijmegen: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle Home 1.87 xG

NEC Nijmegen Away 0.77 xG

22 PEC Zwolle had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

PEC Zwolle NEC Nijmegen

Shots: 10; 11
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 4; 6
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

PEC Zwolle

0.76 xG created 2.11 xGA

L 0.62 created, 2.37 conceded against AFC Ajax
L 0.43 created, 1.73 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
D 0.93 created, 2.40 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
L 0.96 created, 1.79 conceded against FC Volendam
L 0.12 created, 1.86 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 1.47 created, 2.54 conceded against NAC Breda

NEC Nijmegen

1.22 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 1.64 created, 1.30 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
L 2.00 created, 2.23 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
L 0.98 created, 3.08 conceded against SC Heerenveen
W 1.30 created, 0.35 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 0.88 created, 0.76 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
D 0.53 created, 1.94 conceded against FC Twente

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.