xgEdge

Sunday, 28/09/2025 at 12:15

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Match report · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen 2:1 AZ Alkmaar

NEC Nijmegen Home 1.30 xG
AZ Alkmaar Away 0.35 xG
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

NEC Nijmegen AZ Alkmaar
Shots
14
7
On target
4
2
Inside the box
8
5
xG per shot
0.09
0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
NEC Nijmegen

2.33 xG created 1.51 xGA

  • W 2.24 created, 0.76 conceded against Excelsior
  • W 3.03 created, 1.09 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • W 4.10 created, 0.61 conceded against NAC Breda
  • L 1.64 created, 1.30 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 2.00 created, 2.23 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • L 0.98 created, 3.08 conceded against SC Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar

1.98 xG created 1.26 xGA

  • W 1.44 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Groningen
  • D 1.46 created, 0.47 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 2.82 created, 1.96 conceded against NAC Breda
  • W 2.59 created, 1.37 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • D 1.17 created, 1.95 conceded against Feyenoord
  • D 2.40 created, 0.93 conceded against PEC Zwolle

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.