SC Heerenveen 4:2 PEC Zwolle: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 15/02/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

SC Heerenveen Home 1.58 xG

PEC Zwolle Away 1.19 xG

42 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

SC Heerenveen PEC Zwolle

Shots: 11; 12
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 6; 9
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.10

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SC Heerenveen

1.32 xG created 1.37 xGA

W 1.76 created, 0.48 conceded against Heracles Almelo
D 0.92 created, 1.08 conceded against Feyenoord
L 1.48 created, 1.87 conceded against FC Groningen
D 1.64 created, 0.83 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 0.29 created, 3.18 conceded against FC Twente
W 1.82 created, 0.77 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles

PEC Zwolle

1.26 xG created 1.59 xGA

L 1.18 created, 1.71 conceded against Excelsior
D 0.40 created, 2.07 conceded against FC Twente
W 1.73 created, 0.61 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
L 0.71 created, 1.50 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 2.85 created, 1.75 conceded against SC Telstar
L 0.70 created, 1.89 conceded against FC Volendam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

SC Heerenveen: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

PEC Zwolle 2:1 SC Heerenveen 28/11/2025 xG 1.56 – 1.76

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.