Willem II Tilburg's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.
Showing 3 of 3 matching results
7 played this season
3 available results · Last 10 requested
Reset filtersResults
- Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
- 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
1 pts 3–10 goals −7 GD
Chances
- Provider xG / xGA
- 4.02 – 8.70
- 1.34 – 2.90 per match
- xGD
- -4.68
- -1.56 per match
- xG record
- 0 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 3 against them
Small sample: 3 matches.
Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.
Points vs xPts Model
1 pts 1.5 xPts
−0.5 vs xPts
Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.
Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.
What the results say
Last 10 · Eredivisie · Away
Willem II Tilburg's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 0 of 3 matches, for −4.68 xG difference overall on 4.02–8.70. Their points total of 1 sits 0.5 below the model's 1.5 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.
Points minus xPts, match by match
Over these 3 results Willem II Tilburg are 0.54 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -0.78, against Go Ahead Eagles on Sat 08/08.
- Points
- 1
- xPts
- 1.54
- Gap
- -0.54
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Points | xPts | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 08/08 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0.78 | -0.78 | -0.78 |
| Fri 11/09 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0.42 | +0.58 | -0.20 |
| Tue 15/09 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0.34 | -0.34 | -0.54 |
Scores and xG
Willem II Tilburg first
-
Match analysis →
Why this label · AFC Ajax, Tue 15/09
The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.34
- Points minus xPts
- -0.34
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · AZ Alkmaar, Fri 11/09
The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 1
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.42
- Points minus xPts
- +0.58
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Go Ahead Eagles, Sat 08/08
The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.78
- Points minus xPts
- -0.78
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
Reading these results
xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
How each figure on this page is read
Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.
Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.