xgEdge

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 17:15

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Match report · HNL

HNK Rijeka 3:1 NK Varaždin

HNK Rijeka Home 4.44 xG
NK Varaždin Away 1.14 xG
31 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

HNK Rijeka NK Varaždin
Shots
26
18
On target
9
5
Inside the box
21
8
xG per shot
0.17
0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
HNK Rijeka

1.04 xG created 1.10 xGA

  • W 2.01 created, 0.36 conceded against HNK Vukovar 1991
  • W 0.90 created, 0.35 conceded against HNK Gorica
  • W 1.33 created, 1.64 conceded against NK Istra 1961
  • D 1.10 created, 2.28 conceded against NK Slaven Belupo
  • L 0.78 created, 1.08 conceded against NK Osijek
  • D 0.09 created, 0.87 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varaždin

1.56 xG created 1.60 xGA

  • W 2.27 created, 1.73 conceded against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
  • L 0.84 created, 2.17 conceded against HNK Vukovar 1991
  • L 2.26 created, 1.08 conceded against NK Istra 1961
  • W 1.54 created, 1.79 conceded against HNK Gorica
  • W 1.56 created, 2.03 conceded against NK Slaven Belupo
  • W 0.86 created, 0.83 conceded against NK Osijek

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.