xgEdge

RC Sporting Charleroi's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss

9 pts 10–6 goals +4 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
8.81 – 4.85
2.20 – 1.21 per match
xGD
+3.96
+0.99 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

9 pts 8.3 xPts

+0.7 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

RC Sporting Charleroi's winning record is broadly supported by the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches, for +3.96 xG difference overall on 8.81–4.85. Their points total of 9 sits 0.7 above the model's 8.3 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results RC Sporting Charleroi are 0.68 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +1.07, against KV Mechelen on Sat 22/08.

Points
9
xPts
8.32
Gap
+0.68
Sun 09/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.53 +1.07 -0.97 +0.68 +0.53 +0.54 -2.04 +1.65 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
RC Sporting Charleroi: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 2.47 +0.53 +0.53
Sat 22/08 KV Mechelen 3 2.46 +0.54 +1.07
Sat 05/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 2.04 -2.04 -0.97
Sat 19/09 Cercle Brugge 3 1.35 +1.65 +0.68

Scores and xG

RC Sporting Charleroi first

  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win with even chances

    xG 2.04

    xGA 2.08

    xGD -0.04

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Sat 19/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.35
    Points minus xPts
    +1.65

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss against the chances

    xG 2.18

    xGA 1.24

    xGD +0.94

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sat 05/09

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.04
    Points minus xPts
    -2.04

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.44

    xGA 0.23

    xGD +1.21

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Mechelen, Sat 22/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.45
    Points minus xPts
    +0.55

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.15

    xGA 1.30

    xGD +1.85

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Sun 09/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.47
    Points minus xPts
    +0.53

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →