Jupiler Pro League expected points table 2026/2027
Every Jupiler Pro League club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
RC Sporting Charleroi lead on expected points with 14.16 over 7 matches with xG. SK Beveren sit 6 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 10 against 16 on expected points. Cercle Brugge sit 6 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 16 against 10 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Sporting Charleroi RCS | 7 | 18 | 14.16 | +3.84 | 4 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise ROY | 7 | 19 | 13.89 | +5.11 | 1 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV CLU | 7 | 18 | 13.32 | +4.68 | 3 | Same place as on expected points |
| 4 | RSC Anderlecht RSC | 7 | 13 | 13.17 | −0.17 | 5 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 5 | KAA Gent KAA | 7 | 19 | 12.65 | +6.35 | 2 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 6 | KRC Genk KRC | 7 | 9 | 11.51 | −2.51 | 9 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 7 | Standard Liège STA | 7 | 11 | 10.36 | +0.64 | 7 | Same place as on expected points |
| 8 | Sint-Truidense VV SIN | 7 | 8 | 10.08 | −2.08 | 11 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 9 | SV Zulte Waregem SVZ | 7 | 11 | 9.37 | +1.63 | 6 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 10 | Cercle Brugge CER | 7 | 3 | 8.76 | −5.76 | 16 | 6 places below its expected-points rank |
| 11 | KVC Westerlo KVC | 7 | 10 | 8.65 | +1.35 | 8 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 12 | KV Mechelen KVM | 7 | 3 | 8.34 | −5.34 | 17 | 5 places below its expected-points rank |
| 13 | RAAL La Louvière RAA | 7 | 4 | 7.54 | −3.54 | 14 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 14 | Royal Antwerp FC ROY | 7 | 7 | 7.02 | −0.02 | 13 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 15 | Lommel SK LOM | 7 | 8 | 7.01 | +0.99 | 12 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 16 | SK Beveren SKB | 7 | 9 | 6.66 | +2.34 | 10 | 6 places above its expected-points rank |
| 17 | KV Kortrijk KVK | 7 | 3 | 6.09 | −3.09 | 18 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 18 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven OUD | 7 | 4 | 6.05 | −2.05 | 15 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.