xgEdge

Tuesday, 02/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Barcelona 3:1 Atlético Madrid

Barcelona Home 3.60 xG · 19 shots
Atlético Madrid Away 0.98 xG · 7 shots
31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 19' Alex Baena Atlético Madrid · 0.33 xG chance 0–1
  2. 26' Raphinha Barcelona · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
  3. 65' Dani Olmo Barcelona · 0.55 xG chance 2–1
  4. 90' Ferran Torres Barcelona · 0.45 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Barcelona Atlético Madrid
Shots
19
7
On target
6
2
Inside the box
12
6
xG per shot
0.20
0.14
Open play xG
2.89
1.00
Set-piece xG
—
—
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.81 for Barcelona and 0.98 for Atlético Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Barcelona · Raphinha · 26' · Goal · 9 m · 0.82 xG Barcelona · Robert Lewandowski · 36' · No goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Barcelona · Dani Olmo · 65' · Goal · 12 m · 0.55 xG Barcelona · Ferran Torres · 90' · Goal · 5 m · 0.45 xG Atlético Madrid · Alex Baena · 19' · Goal · 12 m · 0.33 xG Barcelona · Robert Lewandowski · 38' · No goal · 8 m · 0.31 xG Barcelona · Raphinha · 53' · No goal · 8 m · 0.27 xG Atlético Madrid · Thiago Almada · 79' · No goal · 12 m · 0.21 xG Atlético Madrid · Antoine Griezmann · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.21 xG Atlético Madrid · Giuliano Simeone · 53' · No goal · 13 m · 0.16 xG Barcelona · Robert Lewandowski · 33' · No goal · 21 m · 0.08 xG Barcelona · Raphinha · 12' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Barcelona · Lamine Yamal · 69' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG Barcelona · Robert Lewandowski · 9' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Barcelona · Alejandro Balde · 27' · No goal · 5 m · 0.04 xG Atlético Madrid · Julián Alvarez · 52' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Barcelona · Marcus Rashford · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Barcelona · Alejandro Balde · 41' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Atlético Madrid · Dávid Hancko · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Barcelona · Raphinha · 9' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Barcelona · Lamine Yamal · 29' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Barcelona · Dani Olmo · 58' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Barcelona · Marcus Rashford · 90' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Atlético Madrid · Nahuel Molina · 90' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Barcelona · Lamine Yamal · 15' · No goal · 20 m · 0.01 xG Barcelona · Alejandro Balde · 23' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 4.71 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Barcelona
  • Atlético Madrid
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Barcelona

2.02 xG created 1.48 xGA

  • W 1.61 created, 1.55 conceded against Girona FC
  • L 1.03 created, 3.63 conceded against Real Madrid
  • W 1.94 created, 0.71 conceded against Elche
  • W 3.31 created, 0.58 conceded against Celta Vigo
  • W 2.00 created, 0.80 conceded against Athletic Club
  • W 2.24 created, 1.59 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
Atlético Madrid

2.11 xG created 0.91 xGA

  • W 2.58 created, 1.14 conceded against Osasuna
  • W 0.60 created, 1.07 conceded against Real Betis
  • W 3.53 created, 0.46 conceded against Sevilla
  • W 2.92 created, 1.19 conceded against Levante UD
  • W 1.13 created, 0.69 conceded against Getafe
  • W 1.93 created, 0.93 conceded against Real Oviedo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.