Atlético Madrid 1:0 Osasuna: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Atlético Madrid Home 2.58 xG · 18 shots

Osasuna Away 1.14 xG · 9 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

69' Thiago Almada Atlético Madrid · 0.55 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Atlético Madrid Osasuna

Shots: 18; 9
On target: 9; 2
Inside the box: 11; 6
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.91; 1.08
Set-piece xG: 0.65; 0.10
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.58 for Atlético Madrid and 1.15 for Osasuna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 3.74 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atlético Madrid
Osasuna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atlético Madrid

1.80 xG created 1.11 xGA

D 1.09 created, 0.92 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 1.17 created, 0.97 conceded against Villarreal
D 2.26 created, 0.60 conceded against Mallorca
W 3.61 created, 1.60 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 2.34 created, 0.66 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.30 created, 1.92 conceded against Celta Vigo

Osasuna

1.17 xG created 1.16 xGA

L 1.35 created, 1.06 conceded against Espanyol
W 1.77 created, 1.04 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
L 1.80 created, 2.55 conceded against Villarreal
D 0.90 created, 0.82 conceded against Elche
L 0.75 created, 0.66 conceded against Real Betis
W 0.43 created, 0.85 conceded against Getafe

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.