Celta Vigo's attacking and defensive expected goals in La Liga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Celta Vigo xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 4.07 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | 2.64 |
| #3 | Villarreal | 2.38 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | 1.72 |
| #5 | Athletic Club | 1.64 |
| #6 | Real Betis | 1.52 |
| #7 | Racing de Santander | 1.45 |
| #8 | Levante UD | 1.33 |
| #9 | Deportivo Alavés | 1.28 |
| #10 | Rayo Vallecano | 1.27 |
| #11 | Espanyol | 1.24 |
| #12 | Osasuna | 1.24 |
| #13 | Elche | 1.24 |
| #14 | Real Sociedad | 1.19 |
| #15 | Celta Vigo | 1.01 |
| #16 | Sevilla | 0.99 |
| #17 | Deportivo La Coruña | 0.97 |
| #18 | Valencia | 0.87 |
| #19 | Málaga | 0.84 |
| #20 | Getafe | 0.69 |
- League avg
- 1.48
- Total
- 7.05 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Atlético Madrid | 1.02 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | 1.09 |
| #3 | Barcelona | 1.09 |
| #4 | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.15 |
| #5 | Deportivo Alavés | 1.19 |
| #6 | Villarreal | 1.25 |
| #7 | Celta Vigo | 1.26 |
| #8 | Getafe | 1.27 |
| #9 | Sevilla | 1.30 |
| #10 | Athletic Club | 1.36 |
| #11 | Espanyol | 1.36 |
| #12 | Osasuna | 1.39 |
| #13 | Valencia | 1.64 |
| #14 | Málaga | 1.66 |
| #15 | Real Sociedad | 1.68 |
| #16 | Rayo Vallecano | 1.76 |
| #17 | Real Betis | 1.86 |
| #18 | Elche | 2.01 |
| #19 | Levante UD | 2.08 |
| #20 | Racing de Santander | 2.20 |
- League avg
- 1.48
- Total
- 8.84 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | +2.99 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | +1.55 |
| #3 | Villarreal | +1.12 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | +0.70 |
| #5 | Athletic Club | +0.28 |
| #6 | Deportivo Alavés | +0.09 |
| #7 | Espanyol | -0.12 |
| #8 | Osasuna | -0.15 |
| #9 | Deportivo La Coruña | -0.18 |
| #10 | Celta Vigo | -0.26 |
| #11 | Sevilla | -0.31 |
| #12 | Real Betis | -0.34 |
| #13 | Rayo Vallecano | -0.50 |
| #14 | Real Sociedad | -0.50 |
| #15 | Getafe | -0.57 |
| #16 | Levante UD | -0.75 |
| #17 | Racing de Santander | -0.76 |
| #18 | Elche | -0.77 |
| #19 | Valencia | -0.78 |
| #20 | Málaga | -0.83 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -1.79 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 2.66 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | 2.27 |
| #3 | Villarreal | 1.92 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | 1.86 |
| #5 | Athletic Club | 1.82 |
| #6 | Deportivo Alavés | 1.44 |
| #7 | Osasuna | 1.36 |
| #8 | Espanyol | 1.35 |
| #9 | Sevilla | 1.30 |
| #10 | Celta Vigo | 1.28 |
| #11 | Real Betis | 1.20 |
| #12 | Real Sociedad | 1.17 |
| #13 | Elche | 1.14 |
| #14 | Racing de Santander | 1.14 |
| #15 | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.14 |
| #16 | Rayo Vallecano | 1.12 |
| #17 | Levante UD | 1.04 |
| #18 | Getafe | 0.92 |
| #19 | Valencia | 0.91 |
| #20 | Málaga | 0.86 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 8.99 vs 7 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Celta Vigo's underlying numbers sit close to the La Liga average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.26 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 8 goals are 0.95 above 7.05 xG, while 7 points are 1.99 below 8.99 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Celta Vigo are 0.95 goals above their xG after 7 matches.
- Goals
- 8
- xG
- 7.05
- Gap
- +0.95
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 22/08 | Valencia | 0 | 0.66 | -0.66 | -0.66 |
| Thu 27/08 | Osasuna | 1 | 0.14 | +0.86 | +0.20 |
| Sun 30/08 | Athletic Club | 0 | 0.75 | -0.75 | -0.55 |
| Thu 03/09 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0.43 | -0.43 | -0.98 |
| Mon 07/09 | Getafe | 1 | 1.03 | -0.03 | -1.01 |
| Sun 13/09 | Málaga | 1 | 1.90 | -0.90 | -1.91 |
| Sat 19/09 | Racing de Santander | 5 | 2.14 | +2.86 | +0.95 |
Celta Vigo xG trend
Current form -0.39 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches. The worst was against Athletic Club on Sun 30/08 (-2.07).
- npxG · last 6
- 0.85
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.25
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 22/08 | Valencia | 0.67 | 0.58 | +0.09 | +0.09 |
| Thu 27/08 | Osasuna | 0.13 | 1.89 | -1.76 | -0.83 |
| Sun 30/08 | Athletic Club | 0.57 | 2.64 | -2.07 | -1.25 |
| Thu 03/09 | Real Sociedad | 0.37 | 1.03 | -0.66 | -1.10 |
| Mon 07/09 | Getafe | 0.96 | 0.81 | +0.15 | -0.85 |
| Sun 13/09 | Málaga | 1.78 | 0.48 | +1.30 | -0.49 |
| Sat 19/09 | Racing de Santander | 1.30 | 0.62 | +0.68 | -0.32 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.83 npxG and 1.15 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 19 hardest of 20 in La Liga
- −0.19 xG vs league average
- Over 7 league matches
- Last 5
- number 19 hardest of 20 in La Liga
- −0.18 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.19 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 19 hardest of 20
- Racing de Santander Home −0.33
- Málaga Home −0.38
- Getafe Away −0.28
- Real Sociedad Away −0.31
- Athletic Club Home +0.40
- Osasuna Home −0.19
- Valencia Away −0.22
Last 5
−0.18 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 19 hardest of 20
- Racing de Santander Home −0.33
- Málaga Home −0.38
- Getafe Away −0.28
- Real Sociedad Away −0.31
- Athletic Club Home +0.40
Celta Vigo shots and chance quality
Low volume, low quality. Celta Vigo take 10.3 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =16 in La Liga for volume and #16 for quality. 51% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 12% of their npxG (league 20%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 21.4 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | 18.9 |
| #3 | Real Betis | 17.4 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | 16.9 |
| #5 | Villarreal | 16.0 |
| #6 | Athletic Club | 15.7 |
| #7 | Espanyol | 13.6 |
| =8 | Rayo Vallecano | 13.4 |
| =8 | Real Sociedad | 13.4 |
| #10 | Deportivo Alavés | 12.4 |
| #11 | Getafe | 11.7 |
| #12 | Elche | 11.3 |
| #13 | Sevilla | 11.0 |
| #14 | Levante UD | 10.7 |
| #15 | Valencia | 10.6 |
| =16 | Celta Vigo | 10.3 |
| =16 | Racing de Santander | 10.3 |
| #18 | Deportivo La Coruña | 10.1 |
| #19 | Málaga | 10.0 |
| #20 | Osasuna | 9.4 |
- League avg
- 13.2
- Total
- 72 shots from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 0.16 |
| #2 | Levante UD | 0.13 |
| #3 | Real Madrid | 0.13 |
| #4 | Villarreal | 0.13 |
| #5 | Deportivo Alavés | 0.11 |
| #6 | Racing de Santander | 0.10 |
| #7 | Elche | 0.10 |
| #8 | Deportivo La Coruña | 0.10 |
| #9 | Osasuna | 0.10 |
| #10 | Rayo Vallecano | 0.09 |
| #11 | Athletic Club | 0.09 |
| #12 | Espanyol | 0.09 |
| #13 | Real Betis | 0.09 |
| #14 | Atlético Madrid | 0.09 |
| #15 | Valencia | 0.08 |
| #16 | Celta Vigo | 0.08 |
| #17 | Real Sociedad | 0.08 |
| #18 | Sevilla | 0.07 |
| #19 | Málaga | 0.06 |
| #20 | Getafe | 0.06 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 5.78 npxG from 72 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 7.3 |
| #2 | Athletic Club | 9.5 |
| #3 | Atlético Madrid | 9.7 |
| #4 | Sevilla | 11.3 |
| #5 | Espanyol | 12.0 |
| #6 | Deportivo Alavés | 12.1 |
| #7 | Celta Vigo | 12.4 |
| =8 | Osasuna | 12.7 |
| =8 | Real Madrid | 12.7 |
| =10 | Deportivo La Coruña | 12.9 |
| =10 | Villarreal | 12.9 |
| #12 | Getafe | 13.3 |
| #13 | Málaga | 14.9 |
| #14 | Levante UD | 15.2 |
| =15 | Elche | 15.3 |
| =15 | Valencia | 15.3 |
| #17 | Real Betis | 15.7 |
| #18 | Real Sociedad | 15.9 |
| #19 | Rayo Vallecano | 16.6 |
| #20 | Racing de Santander | 16.7 |
- League avg
- 13.2
- Total
- 87 shots allowed from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Deportivo Alavés | 0.07 |
| #2 | Getafe | 0.07 |
| #3 | Real Madrid | 0.08 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | 0.08 |
| #5 | Rayo Vallecano | 0.09 |
| #6 | Deportivo La Coruña | 0.09 |
| #7 | Villarreal | 0.09 |
| #8 | Celta Vigo | 0.09 |
| #9 | Real Sociedad | 0.10 |
| #10 | Málaga | 0.10 |
| #11 | Athletic Club | 0.10 |
| #12 | Valencia | 0.10 |
| #13 | Racing de Santander | 0.11 |
| #14 | Espanyol | 0.11 |
| #15 | Sevilla | 0.11 |
| #16 | Osasuna | 0.11 |
| #17 | Real Betis | 0.12 |
| #18 | Levante UD | 0.12 |
| #19 | Elche | 0.12 |
| #20 | Barcelona | 0.15 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 8.05 npxGA from 87 shots
Shot profile
51% inside the box
League avg 62%
From 37 of 72 shots over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
55% allowed inside the box
League avg 62%
From 48 of 87 shots allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
88% open play · 12% set pieces
League avg 20% set pieces
From 0.7 of 5.7 npxG over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
79% open play · 21% set pieces
League avg 20% set pieces
From 1.6 of 7.9 npxG allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
Celta Vigo home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| xG / match | 1.23 | 0.71 |
| xGA / match | 1.64 | 0.76 |
| xGD / match | -0.41 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.30 | 1.26 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Celta Vigo match by xG
Last 5
- Matches
- 5
- xG / match
- 1.25
- xGA / match
- 1.13
- xGD / match
- +0.12
- Points
- 6 of 15
- Sat 19/09 Racing de Santander H xG 2.14 P xGA 0.75 xGD +1.39 xPts 2.38
- Sun 13/09 Málaga H Best underlying xG 1.90 xGA 0.43 xGD +1.47 xPts 2.51
- Mon 07/09 Getafe A xG 1.03 xGA 0.65 xGD +0.38 xPts 1.70
- Thu 03/09 Real Sociedad A xG 0.43 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.62 xPts 0.70
- Sun 30/08 Athletic Club H Weakest underlying xG 0.75 xGA 2.78 xGD -2.03 xPts 0.23
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Celta Vigo in La Liga
Attack
- xG / match #15 of 20
- Shots / match =16 of 20
- Chance quality #16 of 20
- Home xG #8 of 20
- Away xG #18 of 20
Defence
- xGA / match #7 of 20
- Shots allowed #7 of 20
- Chance quality allowed #8 of 20
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.