Deportivo Alavés 1:1 Villarreal: xG & match report · La Liga

Friday, 13/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Deportivo Alavés Home 0.21 xG · 9 shots

Villarreal Away 0.54 xG · 10 shots

11 Villarreal had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

40' Rafa Marín (o.g.) Deportivo Alavés · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
90' Nicolas Pépé Villarreal · 0.06 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Deportivo Alavés Villarreal

Shots: 9; 10
On target: 1; 4
Inside the box: 2; 8
xG per shot: 0.03; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.24; 0.48
Set-piece xG: 0.07; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Deportivo Alavés's shots add up to 0.31 xG and Villarreal's to 0.55; the published figures are 0.21 and 0.54.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 0.86 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Deportivo Alavés
Villarreal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Deportivo Alavés

1.47 xG created 1.70 xGA

W 1.24 created, 0.69 conceded against Espanyol
L 2.02 created, 1.90 conceded against Getafe
D 1.06 created, 0.27 conceded against Sevilla
D 1.87 created, 2.22 conceded against Girona FC
L 1.31 created, 2.48 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.33 created, 2.63 conceded against Valencia

Villarreal

1.47 xG created 1.46 xGA

W 0.76 created, 0.43 conceded against Espanyol
L 0.68 created, 1.48 conceded against Getafe
W 2.40 created, 1.05 conceded against Levante UD
W 2.06 created, 1.55 conceded against Valencia
L 1.29 created, 2.96 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.62 created, 1.29 conceded against Elche

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Deportivo Alavés: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Villarreal 3:1 Deportivo Alavés 10/01/2026 xG 1.50 – 0.94

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.