Villarreal 2:1 Elche: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 08/03/2026 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Villarreal Home 1.62 xG · 16 shots

Elche Away 1.29 xG · 13 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

31' Tajon Buchanan Villarreal · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
41' Santiago Mouriño Villarreal · 0.10 xG chance 2–0
82' André Silva Elche · 0.15 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Villarreal Elche

Shots: 16; 13
On target: 7; 6
Inside the box: 12; 9
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.61; 0.50
Set-piece xG: 0.05; 0.73
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.67 for Villarreal and 1.26 for Elche.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Villarreal
Elche
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Villarreal

1.35 xG created 1.43 xGA

D 0.92 created, 1.12 conceded against Osasuna
W 0.76 created, 0.43 conceded against Espanyol
L 0.68 created, 1.48 conceded against Getafe
W 2.40 created, 1.05 conceded against Levante UD
W 2.06 created, 1.55 conceded against Valencia
L 1.29 created, 2.96 conceded against Barcelona

Elche

1.26 xG created 2.69 xGA

L 0.65 created, 2.63 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.00 created, 6.24 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.18 created, 2.59 conceded against Real Sociedad
D 2.00 created, 0.77 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.82 created, 3.19 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.90 created, 0.73 conceded against Espanyol

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Villarreal: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Elche 1:3 Villarreal 03/01/2026 xG 1.31 – 1.52

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.