Osasuna 3:2 Real Oviedo: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Osasuna Home 1.37 xG · 16 shots

Real Oviedo Away 1.34 xG · 13 shots

32 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

40' Federico Viñas Real Oviedo · 0.01 xG chance 0–1
45' Ante Budimir Osasuna · 0.08 xG chance 1–1
68' Alberto Reina Real Oviedo · 0.10 xG chance 1–2
75' Ante Budimir Osasuna · 0.23 xG chance 2–2
90' Víctor Muñoz Osasuna · 0.24 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Osasuna Real Oviedo

Shots: 16; 13
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 12; 10
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.47; 1.12
Set-piece xG: 0.90; 0.28
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.34 for Real Oviedo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.77 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Osasuna
Real Oviedo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Osasuna

1.09 xG created 1.17 xGA

D 1.09 created, 1.49 conceded against Mallorca
W 0.81 created, 0.46 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.37 created, 2.41 conceded against Barcelona
W 2.21 created, 0.57 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
D 0.67 created, 1.46 conceded against Athletic Club
L 1.41 created, 0.65 conceded against Girona FC

Real Oviedo

1.10 xG created 1.52 xGA

L 0.93 created, 1.93 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 1.11 created, 0.77 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.64 created, 2.03 conceded against Sevilla
D 0.63 created, 0.66 conceded against Celta Vigo
D 2.04 created, 1.50 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
D 1.24 created, 2.24 conceded against Real Betis

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Osasuna: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Real Oviedo 0:0 Osasuna 03/11/2025 xG 0.63 – 0.71

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.