Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Athletic Club: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 1.33 xG · 15 shots

Athletic Club Away 0.54 xG · 8 shots

11 Rayo Vallecano had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

35' Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano · 0.67 xG chance 1–0
47' Iñaki Williams Athletic Club · 0.04 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Athletic Club

Shots: 15; 8
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 9; 4
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.19; 0.20
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.32
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.33 for Rayo Vallecano and 0.54 for Athletic Club.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 1.90 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.28 xG created 1.47 xGA

W 2.37 created, 0.72 conceded against Mallorca
L 1.18 created, 1.87 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 0.78 created, 1.18 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.96 created, 2.14 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.56 created, 1.10 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 0.83 created, 1.83 conceded against Real Betis

Athletic Club

1.90 xG created 1.40 xGA

L 2.11 created, 2.79 conceded against Mallorca
L 1.74 created, 2.09 conceded against Sevilla
D 1.07 created, 1.83 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 2.09 created, 0.50 conceded against Levante UD
W 1.20 created, 0.36 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 3.19 created, 0.82 conceded against Elche

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Athletic Club 1:0 Rayo Vallecano 25/08/2025 xG 1.51 – 0.29

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.