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Fixtures

Real Madrid fixtures 2026/2027

Real Madrid · La Liga 2026/2027 →

What Real Madrid have left to play in La Liga 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

31 matches ahead in La Liga

Run difficulty 2.1 of 5 Favourable
Projected xG / match 1.74
Projected xGA / match 1.12
Projected xPts 55.5 / 93

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

What the fixtures say

The run of 31 matches ahead of Real Madrid in La Liga rates 2.1 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Favourable. 22 of them rate easier than balanced, and 1 of them rates harder than balanced. The model expects 1.74 projected xG a match from them and 55.5 of the 93 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Barcelona away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 89/99 and a defence rated 79/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

The first 10 of the 31 matches in this run. The list below carries every one of them.

Kindest fixture

Racing de Santander home Sun 16/05

1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 23/99

Projected xG 2.33 – 0.92 Real Madrid win 69%

Toughest fixture

Barcelona away Sun 25/10

4 Difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 79/99

Projected xG 1.20 – 2.05 Real Madrid win 19%

  • Open the match page for Villarreal

    Sat 10/10 Home Villarreal La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 54/99
    Projected xG 1.93 – 1.15 Projected xPts 1.90
  • Open the match page for Sevilla

    Sun 18/10 Home Sevilla La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 72/99
    Projected xG 1.70 – 0.81 Projected xPts 2.02
  • Open the match page for Barcelona

    Sun 25/10 Away Barcelona La Liga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 79/99
    Projected xG 1.20 – 2.05 Projected xPts 0.82
  • Open the match page for Racing de Santander

    Sun 01/11 Away Racing de Santander La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 23/99
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.20 Projected xPts 1.77
  • Open the match page for Valencia

    Sun 08/11 Away Valencia La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 38/99
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.18 Projected xPts 1.68
  • Open the match page for Celta Vigo

    Sun 22/11 Home Celta Vigo La Liga

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 2.08 – 0.77 Projected xPts 2.26
  • Open the match page for Deportivo Alavés

    Sun 29/11 Home Deportivo Alavés La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 1.78 – 0.98 Projected xPts 1.94
  • Open the match page for Athletic Club

    Sun 06/12 Away Athletic Club La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 82/99
    Projected xG 1.16 – 1.41 Projected xPts 1.15
  • Open the match page for Osasuna

    Sun 13/12 Home Osasuna La Liga

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 50/99
    Projected xG 1.97 – 0.85 Projected xPts 2.15
  • Open the match page for Deportivo La Coruña

    Sun 20/12 Away Deportivo La Coruña La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.69
  • Open the match page for Getafe

    Sun 03/01 Home Getafe La Liga

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 59/99
    Projected xG 1.87 – 0.72 Projected xPts 2.18
  • Open the match page for Levante UD

    Sun 10/01 Home Levante UD La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 2.17 – 1.09 Projected xPts 2.08
  • Open the match page for Málaga

    Sun 17/01 Away Málaga La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 36/99
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.03 Projected xPts 1.81
  • Open the match page for Real Betis

    Sun 24/01 Home Real Betis La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 2.16 – 1.12 Projected xPts 2.06
  • Open the match page for Rayo Vallecano

    Sun 31/01 Away Rayo Vallecano La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 47/99
    Projected xG 1.54 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.47
  • Open the match page for Real Sociedad

    Sun 07/02 Away Real Sociedad La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 25/99
    Projected xG 1.76 – 1.20 Projected xPts 1.75
  • Open the match page for Athletic Club

    Sun 14/02 Home Athletic Club La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 82/99
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.08 Projected xPts 1.67
  • Open the match page for Sevilla

    Sun 21/02 Away Sevilla La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 72/99
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.06 Projected xPts 1.53
  • Open the match page for Valencia

    Sun 28/02 Home Valencia La Liga

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 38/99
    Projected xG 2.13 – 0.90 Projected xPts 2.19
  • Open the match page for Villarreal

    Sun 07/03 Away Villarreal La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 54/99
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.51 Projected xPts 1.34
  • Open the match page for Espanyol

    Sun 14/03 Home Espanyol La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 2.12 – 0.98 Projected xPts 2.13
  • Open the match page for Celta Vigo

    Sun 21/03 Away Celta Vigo La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.00 Projected xPts 1.79
  • Open the match page for Atlético Madrid

    Sun 04/04 Home Atlético Madrid La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 67/99
    Projected xG 1.77 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.79
  • Open the match page for Osasuna

    Sun 11/04 Away Osasuna La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 50/99
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.11 Projected xPts 1.64
  • Open the match page for Getafe

    Sun 18/04 Away Getafe La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 59/99
    Projected xG 1.43 – 0.95 Projected xPts 1.71
  • Open the match page for Elche

    Wed 21/04 Home Elche La Liga

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 2.12 – 0.87 Projected xPts 2.21
  • Open the match page for Levante UD

    Sun 02/05 Away Levante UD La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.42 Projected xPts 1.52
  • Open the match page for Barcelona

    Sun 09/05 Home Barcelona La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 79/99
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.57 Projected xPts 1.36
  • Open the match page for Racing de Santander

    Sun 16/05 Home Racing de Santander La Liga

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 23/99
    Projected xG 2.33 – 0.92 Projected xPts 2.28
  • Open the match page for Deportivo Alavés

    Sun 23/05 Away Deportivo Alavés La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 1.37 – 1.28 Projected xPts 1.41
  • Open the match page for Deportivo La Coruña

    Sun 30/05 Home Deportivo La Coruña La Liga

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 2.08 – 0.86 Projected xPts 2.19

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in La Liga.

Fixture difficulty in La Liga

Reads each matchup for Real Madrid: the band is cut from the model's chances of Real Madrid winning and losing the match, so Real Madrid's own strength and home advantage are in it.

2.1 Real Madrid's run 3.0 the competition's average

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

Upcoming opponent strength

number 5 hardest of 20 in La Liga

+0.12 xG vs league average

Over 5 upcoming league fixtures

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against La Liga's average club, with no venue and nothing of Real Madrid's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Upcoming

+0.12 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 5 hardest of 20

  1. Villarreal Home +0.23
  2. Sevilla Home −0.07
  3. Barcelona Away +1.00
  4. Racing de Santander Away −0.33
  5. Valencia Away −0.22

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in La Liga and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →

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