xgEdge

Expected goals

Real Oviedo expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

La Liga · after 38 matches · updated 4 Oct

Real Oviedo's attacking and defensive expected goals in La Liga 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Real Oviedo xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.93 xG per match
#19/20
Attack (xG per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Barcelona 2.25
#2 Real Madrid 2.03
#3 Atlético Madrid 1.56
#4 Villarreal 1.54
#5 Real Betis 1.47
#6 Real Sociedad 1.41
#7 Levante UD 1.38
#8 Rayo Vallecano 1.35
#9 Athletic Club 1.33
#10 Valencia 1.31
#11 Celta Vigo 1.31
#12 Espanyol 1.28
#13 Girona FC 1.26
#14 Deportivo Alavés 1.22
#15 Osasuna 1.19
#16 Mallorca 1.14
#17 Elche 1.12
#18 Sevilla 1.02
#19 Real Oviedo 0.93
#20 Getafe 0.81
League avg
1.35
Total
35.41 38 matches
Defence
1.56 xGA per match
#17/20
Defence (xGA per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Real Madrid 1.07
#2 Getafe 1.08
#3 Athletic Club 1.12
#4 Real Betis 1.20
#5 Barcelona 1.20
#6 Villarreal 1.21
#7 Valencia 1.22
#8 Deportivo Alavés 1.24
=9 Atlético Madrid 1.29
=9 Osasuna 1.29
#11 Rayo Vallecano 1.31
#12 Celta Vigo 1.31
#13 Espanyol 1.45
#14 Sevilla 1.49
#15 Real Sociedad 1.49
#16 Girona FC 1.51
#17 Real Oviedo 1.56
#18 Levante UD 1.59
#19 Mallorca 1.65
#20 Elche 1.65
League avg
1.35
Total
59.13 38 matches
xG difference
-0.62 xGD per match
#20/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Barcelona +1.05
#2 Real Madrid +0.95
#3 Villarreal +0.33
#4 Real Betis +0.28
#5 Atlético Madrid +0.27
#6 Athletic Club +0.21
#7 Valencia +0.09
#8 Rayo Vallecano +0.04
#9 Celta Vigo -0.01
#10 Deportivo Alavés -0.02
#11 Real Sociedad -0.09
#12 Osasuna -0.10
#13 Espanyol -0.17
#14 Levante UD -0.21
#15 Girona FC -0.24
#16 Getafe -0.27
#17 Sevilla -0.47
#18 Mallorca -0.51
#19 Elche -0.53
#20 Real Oviedo -0.62
League avg
0.00
Total
-23.72 38 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.94 xPts per match
#20/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Real Madrid 2.00
#2 Barcelona 1.99
#3 Villarreal 1.60
#4 Real Betis 1.57
#5 Atlético Madrid 1.56
#6 Athletic Club 1.52
#7 Valencia 1.48
#8 Rayo Vallecano 1.41
#9 Celta Vigo 1.39
#10 Real Sociedad 1.36
#11 Deportivo Alavés 1.36
#12 Osasuna 1.34
#13 Girona FC 1.25
#14 Levante UD 1.24
#15 Espanyol 1.22
#16 Getafe 1.15
#17 Elche 1.08
#18 Sevilla 1.05
#19 Mallorca 1.03
#20 Real Oviedo 0.94
League avg
1.38
Total
35.72 vs 29 actual pts

What the xG says

Real Oviedo's underlying numbers are among the weakest in La Liga. They rank #20 for xG difference at -0.62 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 26 goals are 9.41 below 35.41 xG, while 29 points are 6.72 below 35.72 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.85 xG from penalties
26 35.41 -9.41 scored 9.41 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
60 59.13 +0.87 conceded 0.87 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
29 35.72 -6.72 6.72 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Real Oviedo are 9.41 goals below their xG after 38 matches.

Goals
26
xG
35.41
Gap
-9.41
Fri 15/08 Sun 24/08 Sat 30/08 Sat 13/09 Sun 21/09 Thu 25/09 Tue 30/09 Sat 04/10 Fri 17/10 Sat 25/10 Mon 03/11 Sun 09/11 Sun 23/11 Sat 29/11 Fri 05/12 Sun 14/12 Sat 20/12 Sun 04/01 Sat 10/01 Sat 17/01 Sun 25/01 Sat 31/01 Sun 15/02 Sat 21/02 Sat 28/02 Wed 04/03 Mon 09/03 Sat 14/03 Sat 21/03 Sun 05/04 Sun 12/04 Thu 23/04 Sun 26/04 Sun 03/05 Sun 10/05 Thu 14/05 Sun 17/05 Sat 23/05 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 -0.94 -1.44 -0.89 -1.35 -2.44 -2.48 -1.25 -2.56 -3.33 -2.12 -2.75 -2.97 -3.40 -4.33 -5.44 -6.08 -6.71 -7.75 -7.99 -7.33 -7.79 -8.13 -7.49 -6.17 -7.27 -8.26 -8.13 -8.00 -7.34 -6.95 -5.66 -5.46 -5.45 -7.04 -7.58 -8.62 -9.07 -9.41 -0.94 -0.50 +0.55 -0.46 -1.09 -0.04 +1.23 -1.31 -0.77 +1.21 -0.63 -0.22 -0.43 -0.93 -1.11 -0.64 -0.63 -1.04 -0.24 +0.66 -0.46 -0.34 +0.64 +1.32 -1.10 -0.99 +0.13 +0.13 +0.66 +0.39 +1.29 +0.20 +0.01 -1.59 -0.54 -1.04 -0.45 -0.34 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Real Oviedo: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 15/08 Villarreal 0 0.94 -0.94 -0.94
Sun 24/08 Real Madrid 0 0.50 -0.50 -1.44
Sat 30/08 Real Sociedad 1 0.45 +0.55 -0.89
Sat 13/09 Getafe 0 0.46 -0.46 -1.35
Sun 21/09 Elche 0 1.09 -1.09 -2.44
Thu 25/09 Barcelona 1 1.04 -0.04 -2.48
Tue 30/09 Valencia 2 0.77 +1.23 -1.25
Sat 04/10 Levante UD 0 1.31 -1.31 -2.56
Fri 17/10 Espanyol 0 0.77 -0.77 -3.33
Sat 25/10 Girona FC 3 1.79 +1.21 -2.12
Mon 03/11 Osasuna 0 0.63 -0.63 -2.75
Sun 09/11 Athletic Club 0 0.22 -0.22 -2.97
Sun 23/11 Rayo Vallecano 0 0.43 -0.43 -3.40
Sat 29/11 Atlético Madrid 0 0.93 -0.93 -4.33
Fri 05/12 Mallorca 0 1.11 -1.11 -5.44
Sun 14/12 Sevilla 0 0.64 -0.64 -6.08
Sat 20/12 Celta Vigo 0 0.63 -0.63 -6.71
Sun 04/01 Deportivo Alavés 1 2.04 -1.04 -7.75
Sat 10/01 Real Betis 1 1.24 -0.24 -7.99
Sat 17/01 Osasuna 2 1.34 +0.66 -7.33
Sun 25/01 Barcelona 0 0.46 -0.46 -7.79
Sat 31/01 Girona FC 1 1.34 -0.34 -8.13
Sun 15/02 Athletic Club 1 0.36 +0.64 -7.49
Sat 21/02 Real Sociedad 3 1.68 +1.32 -6.17
Sat 28/02 Atlético Madrid 0 1.10 -1.10 -7.27
Wed 04/03 Rayo Vallecano 0 0.99 -0.99 -8.26
Mon 09/03 Espanyol 1 0.87 +0.13 -8.13
Sat 14/03 Valencia 1 0.87 +0.13 -8.00
Sat 21/03 Levante UD 2 1.34 +0.66 -7.34
Sun 05/04 Sevilla 1 0.61 +0.39 -6.95
Sun 12/04 Celta Vigo 3 1.71 +1.29 -5.66
Thu 23/04 Villarreal 1 0.80 +0.20 -5.46
Sun 26/04 Elche 1 0.99 +0.01 -5.45
Sun 03/05 Real Betis 0 1.59 -1.59 -7.04
Sun 10/05 Getafe 0 0.54 -0.54 -7.58
Thu 14/05 Real Madrid 0 1.04 -1.04 -8.62
Sun 17/05 Deportivo Alavés 0 0.45 -0.45 -9.07
Sat 23/05 Mallorca 0 0.34 -0.34 -9.41

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Real Oviedo xG trend

Current form -0.71 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 9 of 38 matches. The worst was against Espanyol on Fri 17/10 (-2.99).

npxG · last 6
0.79
npxGA · last 6
1.50
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.30 Fri 15/08 -2.16 Sun 24/08 -0.58 Sat 30/08 -0.43 Sat 13/09 -0.46 Sun 21/09 -1.11 Thu 25/09 +0.08 Tue 30/09 -0.64 Sat 04/10 -2.99 Fri 17/10 -0.24 Sat 25/10 -0.13 Mon 03/11 -1.49 Sun 09/11 -0.51 Sun 23/11 -1.03 Sat 29/11 +0.34 Fri 05/12 -1.35 Sun 14/12 -0.03 Sat 20/12 +0.54 Sun 04/01 -1.14 Sat 10/01 -0.03 Sat 17/01 -1.86 Sun 25/01 +0.73 Sat 31/01 -0.84 Sun 15/02 -0.33 Sat 21/02 +0.13 Sat 28/02 -0.69 Wed 04/03 -0.91 Mon 09/03 +0.32 Sat 14/03 -1.28 Sat 21/03 -0.04 Sun 05/04 +0.80 Sun 12/04 +0.33 Thu 23/04 +0.69 Sun 26/04 -0.09 Sun 03/05 -1.08 Sun 10/05 -0.40 Thu 14/05 -1.01 Sun 17/05 -2.36 Sat 23/05 -0.62 season avg
Real Oviedo: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 15/08 Villarreal 0.14 2.44 -2.30 -2.30
Sun 24/08 Real Madrid 0.52 2.68 -2.16 -2.23
Sat 30/08 Real Sociedad 0.50 1.08 -0.58 -1.68
Sat 13/09 Getafe 0.32 0.75 -0.43 -1.37
Sun 21/09 Elche 1.09 1.55 -0.46 -1.19
Thu 25/09 Barcelona 1.04 2.15 -1.11 -1.17
Tue 30/09 Valencia 0.80 0.72 +0.08 -0.99
Sat 04/10 Levante UD 1.31 1.95 -0.64 -0.95
Fri 17/10 Espanyol 0.77 3.76 -2.99 -1.18
Sat 25/10 Girona FC 1.79 2.03 -0.24 -1.08
Mon 03/11 Osasuna 0.63 0.76 -0.13 -1.00
Sun 09/11 Athletic Club 0.22 1.71 -1.49 -1.04
Sun 23/11 Rayo Vallecano 0.44 0.95 -0.51 -1.00
Sat 29/11 Atlético Madrid 0.93 1.96 -1.03 -1.00
Fri 05/12 Mallorca 1.11 0.77 +0.34 -0.91
Sun 14/12 Sevilla 0.64 1.99 -1.35 -0.94
Sat 20/12 Celta Vigo 0.63 0.66 -0.03 -0.88
Sun 04/01 Deportivo Alavés 2.04 1.50 +0.54 -0.81
Sat 10/01 Real Betis 1.11 2.25 -1.14 -0.82
Sat 17/01 Osasuna 1.34 1.37 -0.03 -0.78
Sun 25/01 Barcelona 0.46 2.32 -1.86 -0.83
Sat 31/01 Girona FC 1.34 0.61 +0.73 -0.76
Sun 15/02 Athletic Club 0.36 1.20 -0.84 -0.77
Sat 21/02 Real Sociedad 1.68 2.01 -0.33 -0.75
Sat 28/02 Atlético Madrid 1.10 0.97 +0.13 -0.71
Wed 04/03 Rayo Vallecano 1.00 1.69 -0.69 -0.71
Mon 09/03 Espanyol 0.87 1.78 -0.91 -0.72
Sat 14/03 Valencia 0.87 0.55 +0.32 -0.68
Sat 21/03 Levante UD 0.55 1.83 -1.28 -0.70
Sun 05/04 Sevilla 0.61 0.65 -0.04 -0.68
Sun 12/04 Celta Vigo 1.74 0.94 +0.80 -0.63
Thu 23/04 Villarreal 0.87 0.54 +0.33 -0.60
Sun 26/04 Elche 1.11 0.42 +0.69 -0.56
Sun 03/05 Real Betis 1.45 1.54 -0.09 -0.55
Sun 10/05 Getafe 0.41 1.49 -1.08 -0.57
Thu 14/05 Real Madrid 1.03 1.43 -0.40 -0.56
Sun 17/05 Deportivo Alavés 0.45 1.46 -1.01 -0.57
Sat 23/05 Mallorca 0.29 2.65 -2.36 -0.62

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.88 npxG and 1.50 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 1 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 38 league matches
Last 5
tied number 7 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 38 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 20

  1. Mallorca Away −0.18
  2. Deportivo Alavés Home +0.07
  3. Real Madrid Away +0.33
  4. Getafe Home −0.18
  5. Real Betis Away +0.13
  6. Elche Home −0.34
  7. Villarreal Home −0.01
  8. Celta Vigo Away −0.13
  9. Sevilla Home −0.06
  10. Levante UD Away +0.05
  11. Valencia Home +0.10
  12. Espanyol Away −0.23
  13. Rayo Vallecano Away +0.10
  14. Atlético Madrid Home +0.04
  15. Real Sociedad Away −0.36
  16. Athletic Club Home +0.31
  17. Girona FC Home +0.03
  18. Barcelona Away +0.58
  19. Osasuna Away +0.08
  20. Real Betis Home +0.13
  21. Deportivo Alavés Away +0.07
  22. Celta Vigo Home −0.13
  23. Sevilla Away −0.06
  24. Mallorca Home −0.18
  25. Atlético Madrid Away +0.04
  26. Rayo Vallecano Home +0.10
  27. Athletic Club Away +0.31
  28. Osasuna Home +0.08
  29. Girona FC Away +0.03
  30. Espanyol Home −0.23
  31. Levante UD Home +0.05
  32. Valencia Away +0.10
  33. Barcelona Home +0.58
  34. Elche Away −0.34
  35. Getafe Away −0.18
  36. Real Sociedad Home −0.36
  37. Real Madrid Home +0.33
  38. Villarreal Away −0.01

Last 5

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 20

  1. Mallorca Away −0.18
  2. Deportivo Alavés Home +0.07
  3. Real Madrid Away +0.33
  4. Getafe Home −0.18
  5. Real Betis Away +0.13

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Real Oviedo shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Real Oviedo take 10.0 shots a match (league 12.5) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #19 in La Liga for volume and #17 for quality. 64% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%), and set pieces produce 29% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.0 shots per match
#19/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 18.1
#2 Real Madrid 17.5
#3 Real Betis 14.2
#4 Rayo Vallecano 13.9
#5 Athletic Club 13.7
#6 Atlético Madrid 13.1
#7 Espanyol 12.6
#8 Levante UD 12.6
#9 Real Sociedad 12.4
#10 Deportivo Alavés 12.1
#11 Valencia 12.0
#12 Villarreal 12.0
#13 Osasuna 11.9
#14 Sevilla 11.5
#15 Girona FC 11.2
#16 Mallorca 10.9
#17 Elche 10.8
#18 Celta Vigo 10.1
#19 Real Oviedo 10.0
#20 Getafe 9.2
League avg
12.5
Total
370 shots from 37 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#17/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Villarreal 0.12
#2 Celta Vigo 0.12
#3 Barcelona 0.12
#4 Atlético Madrid 0.11
#5 Girona FC 0.10
#6 Real Betis 0.10
#7 Real Sociedad 0.10
#8 Levante UD 0.10
#9 Real Madrid 0.10
#10 Mallorca 0.10
#11 Elche 0.09
#12 Valencia 0.09
#13 Espanyol 0.09
#14 Deportivo Alavés 0.09
#15 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#16 Athletic Club 0.09
#17 Real Oviedo 0.09
#18 Osasuna 0.08
#19 Getafe 0.08
#20 Sevilla 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
32.52 npxG from 370 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.7 shots per match
#19/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 9.2
#2 Athletic Club 9.4
#3 Sevilla 10.6
#4 Real Madrid 10.8
#5 Getafe 11.1
#6 Atlético Madrid 11.6
#7 Valencia 11.7
#8 Rayo Vallecano 12.2
#9 Real Betis 12.3
#10 Osasuna 12.5
#11 Celta Vigo 12.6
#12 Deportivo Alavés 12.7
#13 Villarreal 12.8
#14 Espanyol 13.7
#15 Real Sociedad 13.9
#16 Elche 14.0
#17 Mallorca 14.2
#18 Girona FC 14.5
#19 Real Oviedo 14.7
#20 Levante UD 15.3
League avg
12.5
Total
543 shots allowed from 37 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#15/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Villarreal 0.08
#2 Celta Vigo 0.09
#3 Real Betis 0.09
#4 Getafe 0.09
#5 Osasuna 0.09
#6 Real Madrid 0.09
#7 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#8 Valencia 0.09
#9 Deportivo Alavés 0.09
#10 Girona FC 0.10
#11 Espanyol 0.10
#12 Levante UD 0.10
#13 Atlético Madrid 0.10
#14 Real Sociedad 0.10
#15 Real Oviedo 0.10
#16 Mallorca 0.10
#17 Elche 0.11
#18 Athletic Club 0.11
#19 Barcelona 0.12
#20 Sevilla 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
54.96 npxGA from 543 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

64% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 237 of 370 shots over 37 matches

Covers 37 of 38 matches with xG.

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 341 of 543 shots allowed over 37 matches

Covers 37 of 38 matches with xG.

Where the npxG comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 9.6 of 32.9 npxG over 38 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 13.0 of 55.1 npxG allowed over 38 matches

Shot counts cover 37 of 38 matches.

How the shot figures are made →

Real Oviedo home and away xG

Real Oviedo per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 19 19
xG / match 0.80 1.07
xGA / match 1.34 1.77
xGD / match -0.54 -0.71
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.99 0.89

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Real Oviedo match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
0.94
xGA / match
1.35
xGD / match
-0.41
Points
8 of 30
  1. Sat 23/05 Mallorca A Weakest underlying xG 0.34 xGA 2.61 xGD -2.27
  2. Sun 17/05 Deportivo Alavés H xG 0.45 xGA 1.46 xGD -1.01
  3. Thu 14/05 Real Madrid A xG 1.04 xGA 1.36 xGD -0.32
  4. Sun 10/05 Getafe H xG 0.54 xGA 1.36 xGD -0.82
  5. Sun 03/05 Real Betis A xG 1.59 xGA 1.53 xGD +0.06
  6. Sun 26/04 Elche H xG 0.99 xGA 0.40 xGD +0.59
  7. Thu 23/04 Villarreal H xG 0.80 xGA 1.39 P xGD -0.59
  8. Sun 12/04 Celta Vigo A Best underlying xG 1.71 xGA 0.91 xGD +0.80
  9. Sun 05/04 Sevilla H xG 0.61 xGA 0.65 xGD -0.04
  10. Sat 21/03 Levante UD A xG 1.34 P xGA 1.82 xGD -0.48

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Real Oviedo in La Liga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect