Valencia 1:1 Sevilla: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 07/12/2025 at 16:15

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Match report · La Liga

Valencia Home 1.19 xG · 11 shots

Sevilla Away 0.32 xG · 5 shots

11 Valencia had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

58' César Tárrega (o.g.) Sevilla · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
90' Hugo Duro Valencia · 0.23 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Valencia Sevilla

Shots: 11; 5
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 8; 3
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.01; 0.28
Set-piece xG: 0.20; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Valencia's shots add up to 1.21 xG and Sevilla's to 0.39; the published figures are 1.19 and 0.32.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

16 shots · 1.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Valencia
Sevilla
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Valencia

0.96 xG created 1.56 xGA

D 0.45 created, 0.74 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.80 created, 2.18 conceded against Villarreal
L 0.46 created, 2.80 conceded against Real Madrid
D 1.94 created, 1.60 conceded against Real Betis
W 1.40 created, 0.75 conceded against Levante UD
D 0.71 created, 1.30 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla

0.96 xG created 1.75 xGA

L 1.26 created, 1.85 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.23 created, 1.61 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 0.46 created, 3.53 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.70 created, 1.29 conceded against Osasuna
L 1.75 created, 1.06 conceded against Espanyol
L 0.37 created, 1.17 conceded against Real Betis

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.