Sevilla 1:0 Osasuna: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 08/11/2025 at 16:15

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Match report · La Liga

Sevilla Home 1.70 xG · 10 shots

Osasuna Away 1.29 xG · 9 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

51' Rubén Vargas (pen.) Sevilla · 0.82 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Sevilla Osasuna

Shots: 10; 9
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 6; 6
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.87; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.29
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.91 for Sevilla and 0.98 for Osasuna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 2.70 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Sevilla
Osasuna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Sevilla

1.06 xG created 2.18 xGA

L 0.97 created, 1.95 conceded against Villarreal
W 0.63 created, 1.89 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 2.80 created, 2.25 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.26 created, 1.85 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.23 created, 1.61 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 0.46 created, 3.53 conceded against Atlético Madrid

Osasuna

1.04 xG created 1.25 xGA

D 0.90 created, 0.82 conceded against Elche
L 0.75 created, 0.66 conceded against Real Betis
W 0.43 created, 0.85 conceded against Getafe
L 1.14 created, 2.58 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 2.31 created, 1.96 conceded against Celta Vigo
D 0.71 created, 0.63 conceded against Real Oviedo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.