xgEdge

Expected goals

AVS - Futebol SAD expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Liga Portugal · after 34 matches · updated 4 Oct

AVS - Futebol SAD's attacking and defensive expected goals in Liga Portugal 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

AVS - Futebol SAD xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.95 xG per match
#16/18
Attack (xG per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Sporting 2.14
#2 Benfica 2.06
#3 FC Porto 1.81
#4 Sporting Braga 1.69
#5 Gil Vicente 1.32
#6 Famalicão 1.32
#7 Estoril Praia 1.23
#8 CF Estrela Amadora 1.22
#9 Vitória SC 1.21
#10 FC Alverca 1.20
#11 CD Nacional 1.16
#12 Tondela 1.09
#13 Santa Clara 1.07
#14 Rio Ave 1.03
#15 FC Arouca 1.01
#16 AVS - Futebol SAD 0.95
#17 Casa Pia 0.93
#18 Moreirense 0.91
League avg
1.30
Total
32.19 34 matches
Defence
1.84 xGA per match
#18/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Porto 0.65
#2 Sporting 0.78
#3 Benfica 0.83
#4 Famalicão 0.98
#5 Santa Clara 1.04
#6 Gil Vicente 1.08
#7 Sporting Braga 1.10
#8 FC Alverca 1.24
#9 Vitória SC 1.37
#10 Tondela 1.48
=11 FC Arouca 1.52
=11 Moreirense 1.52
#13 CD Nacional 1.54
#14 Rio Ave 1.55
#15 CF Estrela Amadora 1.57
#16 Casa Pia 1.62
#17 Estoril Praia 1.63
#18 AVS - Futebol SAD 1.84
League avg
1.30
Total
62.49 34 matches
xG difference
-0.89 xGD per match
#18/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Sporting +1.36
#2 Benfica +1.23
#3 FC Porto +1.17
#4 Sporting Braga +0.59
#5 Famalicão +0.34
#6 Gil Vicente +0.24
#7 Santa Clara +0.03
#8 FC Alverca -0.04
#9 Vitória SC -0.16
#10 CF Estrela Amadora -0.35
#11 CD Nacional -0.38
#12 Tondela -0.39
#13 Estoril Praia -0.40
#14 FC Arouca -0.52
#15 Rio Ave -0.52
#16 Moreirense -0.61
#17 Casa Pia -0.69
#18 AVS - Futebol SAD -0.89
League avg
0.00
Total
-30.30 34 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.79 xPts per match
#18/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Sporting 2.18
#2 FC Porto 2.14
#3 Benfica 2.13
#4 Sporting Braga 1.76
#5 Famalicão 1.64
#6 Gil Vicente 1.52
#7 FC Alverca 1.37
#8 Santa Clara 1.36
#9 Vitória SC 1.30
#10 CD Nacional 1.15
#11 Tondela 1.15
#12 FC Arouca 1.13
#13 Estoril Praia 1.12
#14 CF Estrela Amadora 1.12
#15 Rio Ave 1.07
#16 Moreirense 0.97
#17 Casa Pia 0.94
#18 AVS - Futebol SAD 0.79
League avg
1.38
Total
26.93 vs 21 actual pts

What the xG says

AVS - Futebol SAD's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Liga Portugal. They rank #18 for xG difference at -0.89 per match, from about average shot volume at the league's lowest chance quality. Their 27 goals are 5.19 below 32.19 xG, while 21 points are 5.93 below 26.93 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 4.08 xG from penalties
27 32.19 -5.19 scored 5.19 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
67 62.49 +4.51 conceded 4.51 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
21 26.93 -5.93 5.93 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

AVS - Futebol SAD are 5.19 goals below their xG after 34 matches. The gap was widest at -5.77, against Sporting on Sun 26/04.

Goals
27
xG
32.19
Gap
-5.19
Sat 09/08 Fri 15/08 Sun 24/08 Sat 30/08 Sat 13/09 Sat 20/09 Sat 27/09 Sat 04/10 Sat 25/10 Sun 02/11 Sun 09/11 Fri 28/11 Sat 06/12 Sat 13/12 Sun 21/12 Mon 29/12 Sat 03/01 Sat 17/01 Fri 23/01 Mon 02/02 Mon 09/02 Sun 15/02 Sat 21/02 Sat 28/02 Sat 07/03 Sun 15/03 Sat 21/03 Fri 03/04 Sat 11/04 Fri 17/04 Sun 26/04 Sat 02/05 Sun 10/05 Sat 16/05 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.12 -1.45 +0.13 -0.41 -0.36 -1.24 -2.28 -1.70 -1.90 -0.86 -1.61 -2.81 -3.33 -4.00 -3.27 -3.56 -3.92 -4.50 -4.74 -5.18 -4.67 -2.69 -2.80 -3.58 -4.00 -4.28 -5.08 -5.50 -5.51 -5.11 -5.77 -5.41 -3.16 -5.19 -0.12 -1.33 +1.58 -0.54 +0.05 -0.88 -1.04 +0.58 -0.20 +1.04 -0.75 -1.20 -0.52 -0.67 +0.73 -0.29 -0.36 -0.58 -0.24 -0.44 +0.51 +1.98 -0.11 -0.78 -0.42 -0.28 -0.80 -0.42 -0.01 +0.40 -0.66 +0.36 +2.25 -2.03 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
AVS - Futebol SAD: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 09/08 FC Arouca 1 1.12 -0.12 -0.12
Fri 15/08 Casa Pia 0 1.33 -1.33 -1.45
Sun 24/08 Sporting Braga 2 0.42 +1.58 +0.13
Sat 30/08 Famalicão 0 0.54 -0.54 -0.41
Sat 13/09 Estoril Praia 1 0.95 +0.05 -0.36
Sat 20/09 Benfica 0 0.88 -0.88 -1.24
Sat 27/09 CF Estrela Amadora 0 1.04 -1.04 -2.28
Sat 04/10 FC Alverca 1 0.42 +0.58 -1.70
Sat 25/10 Santa Clara 0 0.20 -0.20 -1.90
Sun 02/11 Tondela 2 0.96 +1.04 -0.86
Sun 09/11 Gil Vicente 1 1.75 -0.75 -1.61
Fri 28/11 Vitória SC 0 1.20 -1.20 -2.81
Sat 06/12 Rio Ave 1 1.52 -0.52 -3.33
Sat 13/12 Sporting 0 0.67 -0.67 -4.00
Sun 21/12 CD Nacional 2 1.27 +0.73 -3.27
Mon 29/12 FC Porto 0 0.29 -0.29 -3.56
Sat 03/01 Moreirense 0 0.36 -0.36 -3.92
Sat 17/01 FC Arouca 0 0.58 -0.58 -4.50
Fri 23/01 Casa Pia 3 3.24 -0.24 -4.74
Mon 02/02 Sporting Braga 0 0.44 -0.44 -5.18
Mon 09/02 Famalicão 1 0.49 +0.51 -4.67
Sun 15/02 Estoril Praia 3 1.02 +1.98 -2.69
Sat 21/02 Benfica 0 0.11 -0.11 -2.80
Sat 28/02 CF Estrela Amadora 0 0.78 -0.78 -3.58
Sat 07/03 FC Alverca 0 0.42 -0.42 -4.00
Sun 15/03 Santa Clara 0 0.28 -0.28 -4.28
Sat 21/03 Tondela 0 0.80 -0.80 -5.08
Fri 03/04 Gil Vicente 0 0.42 -0.42 -5.50
Sat 11/04 Vitória SC 1 1.01 -0.01 -5.51
Fri 17/04 Rio Ave 2 1.60 +0.40 -5.11
Sun 26/04 Sporting 1 1.66 -0.66 -5.77
Sat 02/05 CD Nacional 2 1.64 +0.36 -5.41
Sun 10/05 FC Porto 3 0.75 +2.25 -3.16
Sat 16/05 Moreirense 0 2.03 -2.03 -5.19

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

AVS - Futebol SAD xG trend

Current form -1.09 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 34 matches. The worst was against Benfica on Sat 21/02 (-3.42).

npxG · last 6
1.29
npxGA · last 6
2.38
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.03 Sat 09/08 -1.38 Fri 15/08 -0.79 Sun 24/08 -0.12 Sat 30/08 -1.06 Sat 13/09 -0.73 Sat 20/09 -1.79 Sat 27/09 -0.73 Sat 04/10 -0.89 Sat 25/10 -0.04 Sun 02/11 -0.25 Sun 09/11 -0.33 Fri 28/11 -0.14 Sat 06/12 -2.12 Sat 13/12 -0.03 Sun 21/12 -1.40 Mon 29/12 -1.52 Sat 03/01 -0.57 Sat 17/01 +0.07 Fri 23/01 -1.74 Mon 02/02 -1.69 Mon 09/02 -0.08 Sun 15/02 -3.42 Sat 21/02 +0.27 Sat 28/02 -0.56 Sat 07/03 -0.70 Sun 15/03 +0.14 Sat 21/03 -1.58 Fri 03/04 -1.66 Sat 11/04 -0.84 Fri 17/04 -2.49 Sun 26/04 -0.27 Sat 02/05 -2.32 Sun 10/05 +1.07 Sat 16/05 -0.87 season avg
AVS - Futebol SAD: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 09/08 FC Arouca 1.13 1.10 +0.03 +0.03
Fri 15/08 Casa Pia 0.45 1.83 -1.38 -0.68
Sun 24/08 Sporting Braga 0.51 1.30 -0.79 -0.71
Sat 30/08 Famalicão 0.67 0.79 -0.12 -0.57
Sat 13/09 Estoril Praia 0.92 1.98 -1.06 -0.66
Sat 20/09 Benfica 0.88 1.61 -0.73 -0.68
Sat 27/09 CF Estrela Amadora 0.79 2.58 -1.79 -0.83
Sat 04/10 FC Alverca 0.48 1.21 -0.73 -0.82
Sat 25/10 Santa Clara 0.20 1.09 -0.89 -0.83
Sun 02/11 Tondela 0.96 1.00 -0.04 -0.75
Sun 09/11 Gil Vicente 0.96 1.21 -0.25 -0.70
Fri 28/11 Vitória SC 1.27 1.60 -0.33 -0.67
Sat 06/12 Rio Ave 1.52 1.66 -0.14 -0.63
Sat 13/12 Sporting 0.67 2.79 -2.12 -0.74
Sun 21/12 CD Nacional 1.27 1.30 -0.03 -0.69
Mon 29/12 FC Porto 0.29 1.69 -1.40 -0.74
Sat 03/01 Moreirense 0.39 1.91 -1.52 -0.78
Sat 17/01 FC Arouca 0.58 1.15 -0.57 -0.77
Fri 23/01 Casa Pia 1.66 1.59 +0.07 -0.73
Mon 02/02 Sporting Braga 0.44 2.18 -1.74 -0.78
Mon 09/02 Famalicão 0.49 2.18 -1.69 -0.82
Sun 15/02 Estoril Praia 1.03 1.11 -0.08 -0.79
Sat 21/02 Benfica 0.11 3.53 -3.42 -0.90
Sat 28/02 CF Estrela Amadora 0.78 0.51 +0.27 -0.85
Sat 07/03 FC Alverca 0.41 0.97 -0.56 -0.84
Sun 15/03 Santa Clara 0.28 0.98 -0.70 -0.83
Sat 21/03 Tondela 0.80 0.66 +0.14 -0.80
Fri 03/04 Gil Vicente 0.42 2.00 -1.58 -0.83
Sat 11/04 Vitória SC 0.96 2.62 -1.66 -0.86
Fri 17/04 Rio Ave 1.60 2.44 -0.84 -0.85
Sun 26/04 Sporting 0.87 3.36 -2.49 -0.91
Sat 02/05 CD Nacional 1.54 1.81 -0.27 -0.89
Sun 10/05 FC Porto 0.75 3.07 -2.32 -0.93
Sat 16/05 Moreirense 2.03 0.96 +1.07 -0.87

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.83 npxG and 1.70 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 1 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 34 league matches
Last 5
tied number 4 hardest of 17 in Liga Portugal
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 34 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Moreirense Away −0.43
  2. FC Porto Home +0.49
  3. CD Nacional Away −0.15
  4. Sporting Home +0.64
  5. Rio Ave Away −0.27
  6. Vitória SC Home +0.11
  7. Gil Vicente Away +0.10
  8. Tondela Away −0.29
  9. Santa Clara Home +0.14
  10. FC Alverca Away −0.08
  11. CF Estrela Amadora Home −0.27
  12. Benfica Away +0.76
  13. Estoril Praia Home −0.21
  14. Famalicão Away +0.27
  15. Sporting Braga Home +0.02
  16. Casa Pia Away −0.28
  17. FC Arouca Home −0.01
  18. Moreirense Home −0.43
  19. FC Porto Away +0.49
  20. CD Nacional Home −0.15
  21. Sporting Away +0.64
  22. Rio Ave Home −0.27
  23. Vitória SC Away +0.11
  24. Gil Vicente Home +0.10
  25. Tondela Home −0.29
  26. Santa Clara Away +0.14
  27. FC Alverca Home −0.08
  28. CF Estrela Amadora Away −0.27
  29. Benfica Home +0.76
  30. Estoril Praia Away −0.21
  31. Famalicão Home +0.27
  32. Sporting Braga Away +0.02
  33. Casa Pia Home −0.28
  34. FC Arouca Away −0.01

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 17

  1. Moreirense Away −0.43
  2. FC Porto Home +0.49
  3. CD Nacional Away −0.15
  4. Sporting Home +0.64
  5. Rio Ave Away −0.27

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

AVS - Futebol SAD shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. AVS - Futebol SAD take 11.0 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.07 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Liga Portugal for volume and #18 for quality. 54% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.0 shots per match
#11/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Sporting 17.6
#2 Benfica 17.1
#3 FC Porto 14.4
#4 Gil Vicente 13.8
#5 Vitória SC 13.3
#6 CD Nacional 12.6
#7 Famalicão 12.2
#8 Santa Clara 11.7
=9 Estoril Praia 11.6
=9 Sporting Braga 11.6
#11 AVS - Futebol SAD 11.0
#12 CF Estrela Amadora 10.9
#13 FC Arouca 10.7
#14 Tondela 10.6
#15 Rio Ave 10.4
#16 FC Alverca 9.6
#17 Moreirense 8.9
#18 Casa Pia 8.8
League avg
12.0
Total
375 shots from 34 matches
Chance quality
0.07 npxG per shot
#18/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Sporting Braga 0.12
#2 Sporting 0.11
#3 FC Porto 0.11
#4 FC Alverca 0.11
#5 Benfica 0.11
#6 Famalicão 0.11
#7 Moreirense 0.10
#8 Casa Pia 0.10
#9 Estoril Praia 0.10
#10 CF Estrela Amadora 0.09
#11 FC Arouca 0.09
#12 Rio Ave 0.09
#13 Tondela 0.09
#14 Vitória SC 0.08
#15 CD Nacional 0.08
#16 Santa Clara 0.08
#17 Gil Vicente 0.08
#18 AVS - Futebol SAD 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
28.11 npxG from 375 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.4 shots per match
#17/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Sporting 8.8
#2 Benfica 9.2
#3 FC Porto 9.6
=4 Santa Clara 9.7
=4 Sporting Braga 9.7
#6 Famalicão 10.5
#7 Gil Vicente 10.6
#8 Vitória SC 11.2
#9 Estoril Praia 12.1
#10 Moreirense 13.2
#11 FC Arouca 13.2
#12 Casa Pia 13.4
#13 Tondela 13.4
#14 CF Estrela Amadora 13.5
#15 FC Alverca 13.6
#16 CD Nacional 14.6
#17 AVS - Futebol SAD 15.4
#18 Rio Ave 15.4
League avg
12.0
Total
523 shots allowed from 34 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#16/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Porto 0.06
#2 Sporting 0.08
#3 Benfica 0.08
#4 FC Alverca 0.08
#5 Famalicão 0.09
#6 Santa Clara 0.09
#7 CD Nacional 0.09
#8 Gil Vicente 0.09
#9 Moreirense 0.09
#10 Tondela 0.10
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 0.10
#12 Rio Ave 0.10
#13 Casa Pia 0.10
#14 FC Arouca 0.11
#15 Sporting Braga 0.11
#16 AVS - Futebol SAD 0.11
#17 Vitória SC 0.12
#18 Estoril Praia 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
57.77 npxGA from 523 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

54% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 204 of 375 shots over 34 matches

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 347 of 523 shots allowed over 34 matches

How the shot figures are made →

AVS - Futebol SAD home and away xG

AVS - Futebol SAD per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 17 17
xG / match 0.91 0.98
xGA / match 1.76 1.91
xGD / match -0.85 -0.93
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.77 0.81

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every AVS - Futebol SAD match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
34
xG / match
0.95
xGA / match
1.84
xGD / match
-0.89
Points
21 of 102
  1. Sat 16/05 Moreirense A xG 2.03 xGA 0.96 xGD +1.07
  2. Sun 10/05 FC Porto H Against the chances xG 0.75 xGA 3.06 xGD -2.31
  3. Sat 02/05 CD Nacional A xG 1.64 xGA 1.83 xGD -0.19
  4. Sun 26/04 Sporting H xG 1.66 P xGA 3.36 xGD -1.70
  5. Fri 17/04 Rio Ave A xG 1.60 xGA 2.36 xGD -0.76
  6. Sat 11/04 Vitória SC H xG 1.01 xGA 2.62 xGD -1.61
  7. Fri 03/04 Gil Vicente A xG 0.42 xGA 1.91 xGD -1.49
  8. Sat 21/03 Tondela A xG 0.80 xGA 0.64 xGD +0.16
  9. Sun 15/03 Santa Clara H xG 0.28 xGA 0.98 xGD -0.70
  10. Sat 07/03 FC Alverca A xG 0.42 xGA 0.97 xGD -0.55
  11. Sat 28/02 CF Estrela Amadora H xG 0.78 xGA 0.68 xGD +0.10
  12. Sat 21/02 Benfica A Weakest underlying xG 0.11 xGA 3.47 xGD -3.36
  13. Sun 15/02 Estoril Praia H xG 1.02 xGA 1.08 xGD -0.06
  14. Mon 09/02 Famalicão A xG 0.49 xGA 2.18 xGD -1.69
  15. Mon 02/02 Sporting Braga H xG 0.44 xGA 2.00 xGD -1.56
  16. Fri 23/01 Casa Pia A Best underlying xG 3.24 P xGA 1.59 xGD +1.65
  17. Sat 17/01 FC Arouca H xG 0.58 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.57
  18. Sat 03/01 Moreirense H xG 0.36 xGA 1.91 xGD -1.55
  19. Mon 29/12 FC Porto A xG 0.29 xGA 2.50 P xGD -2.21
  20. Sun 21/12 CD Nacional H xG 1.27 xGA 1.30 xGD -0.03
  21. Sat 13/12 Sporting A xG 0.67 xGA 2.79 xGD -2.12
  22. Sat 06/12 Rio Ave H xG 1.52 xGA 2.44 P xGD -0.92
  23. Fri 28/11 Vitória SC A xG 1.20 xGA 1.60 xGD -0.40
  24. Sun 09/11 Gil Vicente H xG 1.75 P xGA 1.95 P xGD -0.20
  25. Sun 02/11 Tondela H xG 0.96 xGA 1.79 P xGD -0.83
  26. Sat 25/10 Santa Clara A xG 0.20 xGA 1.88 P xGD -1.68
  27. Sat 04/10 FC Alverca H xG 0.42 xGA 1.26 xGD -0.84
  28. Sat 27/09 CF Estrela Amadora A xG 1.04 xGA 2.70 xGD -1.66
  29. Sat 20/09 Benfica H xG 0.88 xGA 2.09 xGD -1.21
  30. Sat 13/09 Estoril Praia A xG 0.95 xGA 1.68 xGD -0.73
  31. Sat 30/08 Famalicão H xG 0.54 xGA 0.90 xGD -0.36
  32. Sun 24/08 Sporting Braga A xG 0.42 xGA 2.31 P xGD -1.89
  33. Fri 15/08 Casa Pia H xG 1.33 P xGA 1.40 xGD -0.07
  34. Sat 09/08 FC Arouca A xG 1.12 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.03

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.47. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

AVS - Futebol SAD in Liga Portugal

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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