Casa Pia 3:2 FC Arouca: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Home 2.07 xG

FC Arouca Away 1.23 xG

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Casa Pia FC Arouca

Shots: 11; 8
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.15

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Casa Pia

0.94 xG created 2.01 xGA

D 0.39 created, 1.16 conceded against Vitória SC
L 1.84 created, 2.38 conceded against Rio Ave
L 0.19 created, 2.30 conceded against Sporting
D 1.59 created, 3.24 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
W 0.97 created, 2.02 conceded against FC Porto
D 0.64 created, 0.98 conceded against CD Nacional

FC Arouca

1.26 xG created 1.09 xGA

D 1.36 created, 1.88 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.73 created, 0.67 conceded against Tondela
W 1.15 created, 0.58 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 1.10 created, 1.05 conceded against Sporting
W 1.47 created, 0.69 conceded against Rio Ave
W 1.72 created, 1.68 conceded against Vitória SC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Casa Pia: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

FC Arouca 0:2 Casa Pia 14/09/2025 xG 0.27 – 1.49

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.