xgEdge

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Tondela 3:1 FC Arouca

Tondela Home 0.67 xG
FC Arouca Away 0.73 xG
31 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

Tondela FC Arouca
Shots
5
11
On target
3
4
Inside the box
3
5
xG per shot
0.13
0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Tondela

1.58 xG created 1.36 xGA

  • D 1.79 created, 0.96 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
  • L 1.05 created, 1.27 conceded against Vitória SC
  • W 1.16 created, 0.49 conceded against Gil Vicente
  • L 0.43 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Porto
  • L 3.28 created, 2.35 conceded against CD Nacional
  • L 1.75 created, 1.15 conceded against Casa Pia
FC Arouca

0.78 xG created 1.75 xGA

  • L 0.78 created, 1.71 conceded against Estoril Praia
  • L 0.06 created, 2.92 conceded against Sporting Braga
  • L 0.48 created, 3.27 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
  • W 1.69 created, 0.21 conceded against FC Alverca
  • D 0.28 created, 0.49 conceded against Santa Clara
  • D 1.36 created, 1.88 conceded against Gil Vicente

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.