xgEdge

Every Liga Portugal match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 28/02/2027

3 matches
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.91 – 0.79
    →
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.42
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.16
    →

Sunday, 07/03/2027

9 matches
  • Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.42 – 0.65
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.68 – 0.75
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.01
    →
  • Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 0.65
    →
  • Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.29 – 0.76
    →
  • CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.17
    →
  • Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.31
    Tight
    →
  • CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.52 – 0.95
    →
  • Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.31
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 14/03/2027

9 matches
  • Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 0.95 – 1.31
    →
  • Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.43 – 0.79
    →
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.13
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.08 – 1.47
    →
  • FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.44 – 0.83
    →
  • Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.16
    Tight
    →
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.42 – 0.79
    →
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 0.71
    →
  • Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.03
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 21/03/2027

9 matches
  • CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.25
    →
  • Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.40 – 0.85
    →
  • CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.46 – 0.79
    →
  • FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.66
    →
  • Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.94 – 1.51
    →
  • Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.29 – 0.67
    →
  • Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.83 – 0.68
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.39
    →
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.93 – 0.86
    →

Sunday, 04/04/2027

9 matches
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.16 – 1.03
    →
  • Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.93 – 0.89
    Tight
    →
  • Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.17
    Tight
    →
  • Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.69 – 1.49
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.12
    →
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.51 – 0.64
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.30 – 0.95
    →
  • FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.05
    →
  • Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.11 – 0.83
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 11/04/2027

9 matches
  • Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.00
    →
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.94 – 1.36
    →
  • CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.05
    →
  • Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.41 – 0.54
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.09 – 1.33
    →
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.37 – 0.69
    →
  • FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.21
    →
  • CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.09 – 1.38
    →
  • Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.01 – 1.17
    →

Sunday, 18/04/2027

2 matches
  • Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.25 – 0.79
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.20 – 0.83
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.