Le Havre 2:1 Toulouse: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 15/02/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Le Havre Home 1.16 xG · 5 shots

Toulouse Away 2.57 xG · 25 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

43' Issa Soumaré Le Havre · 0.55 xG chance 1–0
45' Djibril Sidibé Toulouse · 0.44 xG chance 1–1
53' Issa Soumaré Le Havre · 0.46 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Le Havre Toulouse

Shots: 5; 25
On target: 2; 9
Inside the box: 2; 16
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.12; 1.12
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 1.44
Penalties: —; —

Le Havre's shots add up to 1.12 xG and Toulouse's to 2.56; the published figures are 1.16 and 2.57.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Le Havre
Toulouse
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Le Havre

0.77 xG created 1.46 xGA

L 1.31 created, 2.56 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 1.05 created, 0.55 conceded against Angers
D 0.75 created, 2.61 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 0.21 created, 0.43 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.47 created, 2.14 conceded against RC Lens
W 0.85 created, 0.44 conceded against RC Strasbourg

Toulouse

1.10 xG created 1.10 xGA

W 2.54 created, 0.46 conceded against Paris FC
L 0.66 created, 1.62 conceded against RC Lens
W 1.84 created, 1.99 conceded against Nice
W 0.37 created, 0.99 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 0.75 created, 0.56 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.45 created, 0.98 conceded against Angers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Le Havre: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Toulouse 0:0 Le Havre 02/11/2025 xG 1.12 – 1.30

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.