Toulouse 0:3 RC Lens: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 02/01/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Ligue 1

Toulouse Home 0.66 xG · 8 shots

RC Lens Away 1.62 xG · 16 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

57' Wesley Saïd RC Lens · 0.15 xG chance 0–1
85' Adrien Thomasson RC Lens · 0.15 xG chance 0–2
90' Ismaelo Ganiou RC Lens · 0.04 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Toulouse RC Lens

Shots: 8; 16
On target: 2; 7
Inside the box: 6; 11
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.55; 1.41
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.20
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.66 for Toulouse and 1.64 for RC Lens.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.28 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Toulouse
RC Lens
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Toulouse

1.36 xG created 0.90 xGA

D 1.12 created, 1.30 conceded against Le Havre
D 1.32 created, 1.36 conceded against Lorient
L 1.98 created, 0.43 conceded against Angers
D 0.70 created, 1.80 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 0.50 created, 0.05 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 2.54 created, 0.46 conceded against Paris FC

RC Lens

2.20 xG created 1.37 xGA

W 2.09 created, 1.82 conceded against Lorient
W 3.16 created, 2.83 conceded against AS Monaco
W 1.92 created, 0.46 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 2.05 created, 1.16 conceded against Angers
W 2.30 created, 1.19 conceded against Nantes
W 1.65 created, 0.76 conceded against Nice

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.