Metz 1:3 Paris FC: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 19/04/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Metz Home 1.01 xG · 13 shots

Paris FC Away 1.74 xG · 15 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

21' Alimami Gory Paris FC · 0.22 xG chance 0–1
31' Giorgi Kvilitaia Metz · 0.38 xG chance 1–1
69' Otávio Paris FC · 0.19 xG chance 1–2
89' Ilan Kebbal Paris FC · 0.06 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Metz Paris FC

Shots: 13; 15
On target: 6; 7
Inside the box: 9; 9
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.93; 1.08
Set-piece xG: 0.20; 0.44
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for Metz and 1.48 for Paris FC.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.65 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Metz
Paris FC
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Metz

1.07 xG created 1.84 xGA

L 1.27 created, 0.87 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 0.40 created, 3.22 conceded against RC Lens
L 1.65 created, 1.42 conceded against Toulouse
D 0.33 created, 1.52 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 2.31 created, 0.46 conceded against Nantes
L 0.48 created, 3.55 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

Paris FC

1.51 xG created 1.64 xGA

W 1.20 created, 1.18 conceded against Nice
D 1.72 created, 1.83 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 0.52 created, 1.18 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.94 created, 2.18 conceded against Le Havre
D 1.04 created, 1.18 conceded against Lorient
W 2.61 created, 2.31 conceded against AS Monaco

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Metz: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Paris FC 3:2 Metz 31/08/2025 xG 3.21 – 1.84

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.