Paris FC 1:0 Nice: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Paris FC Home 1.20 xG · 16 shots

Nice Away 1.18 xG · 10 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

26' Marshall Munetsi Paris FC · 0.39 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Paris FC Nice

Shots: 16; 10
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 7; 8
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.79; 1.09
Set-piece xG: 0.42; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.20 for Paris FC and 1.21 for Nice.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.43 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris FC
Nice
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris FC

0.95 xG created 1.82 xGA

W 0.97 created, 0.36 conceded against Nantes
D 0.70 created, 0.66 conceded against Angers
D 1.76 created, 2.41 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
D 0.87 created, 1.14 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.58 created, 3.45 conceded against RC Lens
D 0.82 created, 2.89 conceded against Toulouse

Nice

1.54 xG created 1.58 xGA

L 1.99 created, 1.84 conceded against Toulouse
W 0.87 created, 1.59 conceded against Nantes
D 1.35 created, 1.69 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 0.50 created, 0.61 conceded against AS Monaco
L 1.26 created, 1.52 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 3.24 created, 2.24 conceded against Lorient

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Paris FC: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Nice 1:1 Paris FC 28/09/2025 xG 0.96 – 1.84

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.