Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 Paris FC: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain Home 1.71 xG · 20 shots

Paris FC Away 1.01 xG · 6 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Désiré Doué Paris Saint-Germain · 0.61 xG chance 1–0
51' Willem Geubbels (pen.) Paris FC · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
53' Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint-Germain · 0.03 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Paris Saint-Germain Paris FC

Shots: 20; 6
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 11; 3
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.96; 0.20
Set-piece xG: 0.76; 0.01
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.72 for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.22 for Paris FC.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris Saint-Germain
Paris FC
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris Saint-Germain

2.02 xG created 0.62 xGA

W 1.84 created, 0.48 conceded against Nice
W 1.42 created, 0.69 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 3.46 created, 1.19 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.33 created, 0.52 conceded against AS Monaco
W 2.23 created, 0.24 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.85 created, 0.62 conceded against Metz

Paris FC

1.31 xG created 1.79 xGA

W 0.85 created, 0.61 conceded against AS Monaco
L 1.98 created, 0.75 conceded against Stade Rennais
L 1.52 created, 4.03 conceded against Lille
D 1.80 created, 1.11 conceded against Auxerre
D 1.23 created, 1.71 conceded against Le Havre
L 0.46 created, 2.54 conceded against Toulouse

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.