Lille 4:2 Paris FC: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 23/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lille Home 4.03 xG · 17 shots

Paris FC Away 1.52 xG · 6 shots

42 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

11' Willem Geubbels Paris FC · 0.67 xG chance 0–1
40' Olivier Giroud Lille · 0.25 xG chance 1–1
77' Olivier Giroud (pen.) Lille · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
80' Aïssa Mandi Lille · 0.70 xG chance 3–1
84' Lohann Doucet Paris FC · 0.28 xG chance 3–2
90' Marius Broholm (pen.) Lille · 0.82 xG chance 4–2

The shots behind it

Lille Paris FC

Shots: 17; 6
On target: 10; 3
Inside the box: 13; 4
xG per shot: 0.24; 0.26
Open play xG: 1.53; 1.58
Set-piece xG: 0.90; 0.00
Penalties: 2; 0

Lille's shots add up to 4.07 xG and Paris FC's to 1.58; the published figures are 4.03 and 1.52.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 5.65 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lille
Paris FC
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lille

1.58 xG created 1.07 xGA

D 0.65 created, 1.50 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 2.60 created, 0.45 conceded against Nantes
W 2.92 created, 1.29 conceded against Metz
L 0.99 created, 1.77 conceded against Nice
W 2.04 created, 0.36 conceded against Angers
L 0.28 created, 1.07 conceded against RC Strasbourg

Paris FC

1.03 xG created 1.02 xGA

W 1.02 created, 0.97 conceded against Lorient
L 0.52 created, 1.63 conceded against RC Lens
L 1.19 created, 0.90 conceded against Nantes
D 0.62 created, 1.25 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 0.85 created, 0.61 conceded against AS Monaco
L 1.98 created, 0.75 conceded against Stade Rennais

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.