RC Lens 2:1 Olympique de Marseille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 21:05

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

RC Lens Home 1.80 xG · 9 shots

Olympique de Marseille Away 0.66 xG · 17 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

17' Mason Greenwood Olympique de Marseille · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
23' Odsonne Édouard (pen.) RC Lens · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
53' Benjamin Pavard (o.g.) RC Lens · 0.10 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

RC Lens Olympique de Marseille

Shots: 9; 17
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 6; 9
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.01; 0.40
Set-piece xG: 0.15; 0.28
Penalties: 1; 0

RC Lens's shots add up to 1.98 xG and Olympique de Marseille's to 0.68; the published figures are 1.80 and 0.66.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.66 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RC Lens
Olympique de Marseille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RC Lens

1.96 xG created 1.24 xGA

W 3.99 created, 1.08 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 1.16 created, 1.07 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 3.54 created, 1.90 conceded against Lille
D 1.04 created, 1.19 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 0.41 created, 1.71 conceded against Auxerre
W 1.63 created, 0.52 conceded against Paris FC

Olympique de Marseille

2.14 xG created 0.85 xGA

L 0.77 created, 2.27 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 2.26 created, 0.14 conceded against Lorient
W 1.09 created, 0.67 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 2.02 created, 1.36 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 2.71 created, 0.16 conceded against Metz
W 4.01 created, 0.49 conceded against Le Havre

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.