RC Lens 2:1 Paris FC: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

RC Lens Home 1.63 xG · 11 shots

Paris FC Away 0.52 xG · 9 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

17' Odsonne Édouard RC Lens · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
28' Pierre Lees Melou Paris FC · 0.10 xG chance 1–1
64' Samson Baidoo RC Lens · 0.19 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

RC Lens Paris FC

Shots: 11; 9
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.36; 0.45
Set-piece xG: 0.51; 0.07
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.84 for RC Lens.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.21 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RC Lens
Paris FC
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RC Lens

1.87 xG created 1.47 xGA

W 1.07 created, 1.89 conceded against Le Havre
W 3.99 created, 1.08 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 1.16 created, 1.07 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 3.54 created, 1.90 conceded against Lille
D 1.04 created, 1.19 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 0.41 created, 1.71 conceded against Auxerre

Paris FC

1.72 xG created 1.93 xGA

L 1.09 created, 2.83 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 3.21 created, 1.84 conceded against Metz
W 1.55 created, 2.57 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 1.60 created, 2.38 conceded against RC Strasbourg
D 1.84 created, 0.96 conceded against Nice
W 1.02 created, 0.97 conceded against Lorient

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.