Stade Brestois 3:3 RC Lens: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 24/04/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois Home 0.25 xG · 6 shots

RC Lens Away 2.76 xG · 25 shots

33 RC Lens had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

8' Daouda Guindo Stade Brestois · 0.01 xG chance 1–0
24' Lucas Tousart Stade Brestois · 0.05 xG chance 2–0
42' Eric Ebimbe Stade Brestois · 0.08 xG chance 3–0
60' Florian Thauvin RC Lens · 0.14 xG chance 3–1
64' Abdallah Sima RC Lens · 0.17 xG chance 3–2
90' Allan Saint-Maximin RC Lens · 0.02 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

Stade Brestois RC Lens

Shots: 6; 25
On target: 3; 7
Inside the box: 4; 17
xG per shot: 0.04; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.20; 3.01
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.22 for Stade Brestois and 3.14 for RC Lens.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.34 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Brestois
RC Lens
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Brestois

0.99 xG created 1.60 xGA

W 0.87 created, 1.27 conceded against Metz
W 1.09 created, 0.94 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.41 created, 2.36 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.91 created, 1.22 conceded against Auxerre
L 1.22 created, 2.89 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 0.42 created, 0.92 conceded against Nantes

RC Lens

2.30 xG created 1.36 xGA

D 1.68 created, 0.75 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 3.22 created, 0.40 conceded against Metz
L 1.34 created, 1.45 conceded against Lorient
W 3.19 created, 1.50 conceded against Angers
L 0.59 created, 3.63 conceded against Lille
W 3.76 created, 0.41 conceded against Toulouse

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Brestois: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

RC Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois 29/08/2025 xG 3.99 – 1.08

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.