Stade Brestois 2:0 Le Havre: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 08/03/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois Home 1.09 xG · 11 shots

Le Havre Away 0.94 xG · 14 shots

20 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

45' Romain Del Castillo Stade Brestois · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
71' Ludovic Ajorque Stade Brestois · 0.10 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Stade Brestois Le Havre

Shots: 11; 14
On target: 2; 0
Inside the box: 7; 11
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.96; 0.88
Set-piece xG: 0.15; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.09 for Stade Brestois and 0.89 for Le Havre.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.06 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Brestois
Le Havre
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Brestois

1.18 xG created 1.12 xGA

L 0.99 created, 0.37 conceded against Toulouse
D 1.69 created, 1.35 conceded against Nice
W 1.71 created, 0.77 conceded against Lorient
D 0.68 created, 1.54 conceded against Lille
W 1.13 created, 1.42 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 0.87 created, 1.27 conceded against Metz

Le Havre

0.66 xG created 1.80 xGA

D 0.21 created, 0.43 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.47 created, 2.14 conceded against RC Lens
W 0.85 created, 0.44 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.16 created, 2.57 conceded against Toulouse
L 0.58 created, 1.32 conceded against Nantes
L 0.67 created, 3.88 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Brestois: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Le Havre 1:0 Stade Brestois 29/10/2025 xG 1.01 – 0.55

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.