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Expected goals

Nyiregyháza Spartacus expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

NB I (Hungary) · after 4 matches · updated 1 Oct

Nyiregyháza Spartacus's attacking and defensive expected goals in NB I (Hungary) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Nyiregyháza Spartacus xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.70 xG per match
#1/12
Attack (xG per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 2.70
#2 Debreceni VSC 2.45
#3 Ferencváros TC 2.35
#4 Újpest 2.23
#5 Puskás Akadémia 2.21
#6 Vasas 2.21
#7 MTK Budapest 2.14
#8 ETO FC Győr 1.83
#9 Paksi FC 1.78
#10 Kisvárda FC 1.39
#11 Budapest Honvéd FC 1.23
#12 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.21
League avg
1.99
Total
10.78 4 matches
Defence
1.31 xGA per match
#1/12
Defence (xGA per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 1.31
#2 Ferencváros TC 1.64
#3 Puskás Akadémia 1.73
#4 Budapest Honvéd FC 1.74
=5 MTK Budapest 1.77
=5 Vasas 1.77
#7 Zalaegerszegi TE 1.79
#8 Újpest 2.08
#9 Debreceni VSC 2.13
#10 Kisvárda FC 2.28
#11 ETO FC Győr 2.68
#12 Paksi FC 2.87
League avg
1.99
Total
5.24 4 matches
xG difference
+1.39 xGD per match
#1/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus +1.39
#2 Ferencváros TC +0.72
#3 Puskás Akadémia +0.48
#4 Vasas +0.44
#5 MTK Budapest +0.37
#6 Debreceni VSC +0.32
#7 Újpest +0.15
#8 Budapest Honvéd FC -0.51
#9 Zalaegerszegi TE -0.58
#10 ETO FC Győr -0.85
#11 Kisvárda FC -0.89
#12 Paksi FC -1.09
League avg
0.00
Total
+5.54 4 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.12 xPts per match
#1/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 2.12
#2 Ferencváros TC 1.91
#3 Vasas 1.68
#4 Puskás Akadémia 1.65
#5 MTK Budapest 1.62
#6 Debreceni VSC 1.49
#7 Újpest 1.48
#8 Budapest Honvéd FC 1.08
#9 ETO FC Győr 1.03
#10 Kisvárda FC 0.98
#11 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.96
#12 Paksi FC 0.85
League avg
1.40
Total
8.47 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 4 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 4 of 8 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Nyiregyháza Spartacus's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.39 per match, driven by the league's highest shot volume at about average chance quality. After only 4 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
4 10.78 -6.78 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
8 5.24 +2.76 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 8.47 -4.47 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Nyiregyháza Spartacus are 6.78 goals below their xG after 4 matches.

Goals
4
xG
10.78
Gap
-6.78
Sun 02/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.87 -2.73 -3.82 -6.78 -1.87 -0.86 -1.09 -2.96 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Nyiregyháza Spartacus: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 ETO FC Győr 0 1.87 -1.87 -1.87
Sat 15/08 Kisvárda FC 2 2.86 -0.86 -2.73
Sat 22/08 MTK Budapest 1 2.09 -1.09 -3.82
Sat 29/08 Paksi FC 1 3.96 -2.96 -6.78

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Nyiregyháza Spartacus xG trend

Current form +1.38 npxGD per match

All 4 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches. The only negative was against ETO FC Győr on Sun 02/08 (-0.50).

npxG · last 4
2.70
npxGA · last 4
1.31
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.50 Sun 02/08 +2.07 Sat 15/08 +0.69 Sat 22/08 +3.28 Sat 29/08 +1.39 season avg
Nyiregyháza Spartacus: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 ETO FC Győr 1.87 2.37 -0.50 -0.50
Sat 15/08 Kisvárda FC 2.86 0.79 +2.07 +0.79
Sat 22/08 MTK Budapest 2.09 1.40 +0.69 +0.75
Sat 29/08 Paksi FC 3.96 0.68 +3.28 +1.39

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.70 npxG and 1.31 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 8 hardest of 12 in NB I (Hungary)
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 8 league matches
Last 5
tied number 5 hardest of 12 in NB I (Hungary)
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 12

  1. Ferencváros TC Home +0.54
  2. Vasas Away +0.15
  3. Paksi FC Home −0.07
  4. MTK Budapest Away 0.00
  5. Kisvárda FC Home −0.52
  6. Debreceni VSC Away −0.02
  7. ETO FC Győr Away +0.01
  8. Újpest Home −0.21

Last 5

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 5 hardest of 12

  1. Ferencváros TC Home +0.54
  2. Vasas Away +0.15
  3. Paksi FC Home −0.07
  4. MTK Budapest Away 0.00
  5. Kisvárda FC Home −0.52

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Nyiregyháza Spartacus shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Nyiregyháza Spartacus take 22.3 shots a match (league 15.9) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #1 in NB I (Hungary) for volume and #8 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%).

Attack

Shot volume
22.3 shots per match
#1/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 22.3
#2 Paksi FC 19.2
#3 Debreceni VSC 17.6
=4 MTK Budapest 17.0
=4 Vasas 17.0
=6 Budapest Honvéd FC 16.0
=6 Ferencváros TC 16.0
#8 Újpest 15.7
#9 Puskás Akadémia 15.0
#10 Kisvárda FC 13.8
#11 ETO FC Győr 11.7
#12 Zalaegerszegi TE 10.6
League avg
15.9
Total
89 shots from 4 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#8/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 ETO FC Győr 0.16
#2 Puskás Akadémia 0.15
#3 Ferencváros TC 0.15
#4 Újpest 0.14
#5 Debreceni VSC 0.14
#6 Vasas 0.13
#7 MTK Budapest 0.13
#8 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.12
#9 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.11
#10 Kisvárda FC 0.10
#11 Paksi FC 0.09
#12 Budapest Honvéd FC 0.08
League avg
0.12
Total
10.78 npxG from 89 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.5 shots per match
#2/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Ferencváros TC 8.7
#2 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 11.5
#3 Vasas 13.4
#4 Budapest Honvéd FC 14.0
#5 MTK Budapest 15.4
#6 Zalaegerszegi TE 16.2
#7 Puskás Akadémia 16.3
#8 Újpest 16.7
#9 Paksi FC 17.2
#10 Debreceni VSC 18.8
#11 Kisvárda FC 19.0
#12 ETO FC Győr 20.3
League avg
15.9
Total
46 shots allowed from 4 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#4/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across NB I (Hungary), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Puskás Akadémia 0.11
#2 Zalaegerszegi TE 0.11
#3 Debreceni VSC 0.11
#4 Nyiregyháza Spartacus 0.11
#5 MTK Budapest 0.12
#6 Kisvárda FC 0.12
#7 Újpest 0.12
#8 Budapest Honvéd FC 0.12
#9 ETO FC Győr 0.13
#10 Vasas 0.13
#11 Paksi FC 0.17
#12 Ferencváros TC 0.19
League avg
0.12
Total
5.24 npxGA from 46 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 54 of 89 shots over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 28 of 46 shots allowed over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Nyiregyháza Spartacus home and away xG

Nyiregyháza Spartacus per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 4 2 with xG 4 2 with xG
xG / match 3.41 1.98
xGA / match 0.74 1.89
xGD / match +2.68 +0.09
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.77 1.47

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Nyiregyháza Spartacus match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5 3 with xG
xG / match
2.97
xGA / match
0.96
xGD / match
+2.01
Points
5 of 15
  1. Sun 20/09 Ferencváros TC H
  2. Fri 04/09 Vasas A
  3. Sat 29/08 Paksi FC H xG 3.96 xGA 0.68 xGD +3.28
  4. Sat 22/08 MTK Budapest A xG 2.09 xGA 1.40 xGD +0.69
  5. Sat 15/08 Kisvárda FC H xG 2.86 xGA 0.79 xGD +2.07

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.96. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Nyiregyháza Spartacus in NB I (Hungary)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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