xgEdge

Expected goals

1. FC Tatran Prešov expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Niké Liga (Slovakia) · after 32 matches · updated 1 Oct

1. FC Tatran Prešov's attacking and defensive expected goals in Niké Liga (Slovakia) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

1. FC Tatran Prešov xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.25 xG per match
#10/12
Attack (xG per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 DAC 1904 1.96
#2 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.75
#3 FC Košice 1.73
#4 FC Spartak Trnava 1.71
#5 MŠK Žilina 1.62
#6 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.61
#7 KFC Komárno 1.58
#8 AS Trenčín 1.41
#9 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.41
#10 1. FC Tatran Prešov 1.25
#11 MFK Ružomberok 1.21
#12 MFK Skalica 1.10
League avg
1.53
Total
40.06 32 matches
Defence
1.32 xGA per match
#3/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 1.18
#2 DAC 1904 1.21
#3 1. FC Tatran Prešov 1.32
#4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.45
#5 KFC Komárno 1.50
#6 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.52
#7 MŠK Žilina 1.59
#8 FC Košice 1.60
#9 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.63
#10 MFK Ružomberok 1.66
#11 MFK Skalica 1.73
#12 AS Trenčín 1.90
League avg
1.53
Total
42.23 32 matches
xG difference
-0.07 xGD per match
#8/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 DAC 1904 +0.75
#2 FC Spartak Trnava +0.53
#3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová +0.23
#4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava +0.16
#5 FC Košice +0.13
#6 KFC Komárno +0.09
#7 MŠK Žilina +0.03
#8 1. FC Tatran Prešov -0.07
#9 MFK Zemplín Michalovce -0.22
#10 MFK Ružomberok -0.45
#11 AS Trenčín -0.48
#12 MFK Skalica -0.63
League avg
0.00
Total
-2.17 32 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.32 xPts per match
#8/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 DAC 1904 1.85
#2 FC Spartak Trnava 1.74
#3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.50
#4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.49
#5 FC Košice 1.47
#6 KFC Komárno 1.47
#7 MŠK Žilina 1.40
#8 1. FC Tatran Prešov 1.32
#9 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.20
#10 AS Trenčín 1.18
#11 MFK Ružomberok 1.11
#12 MFK Skalica 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
42.10 vs 30 actual pts

What the xG says

1. FC Tatran Prešov's underlying numbers sit close to the Niké Liga (Slovakia) average. They rank #8 for xG difference at -0.07 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 29 goals are 11.06 below 40.06 xG, while 30 points are 12.10 below 42.10 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
29 40.06 -11.06 scored 11.06 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
43 42.23 +0.77 conceded 0.77 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
30 42.10 -12.10 12.10 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

1. FC Tatran Prešov are 11.06 goals below their xG after 32 matches.

Goals
29
xG
40.06
Gap
-11.06
Sat 26/07 Sun 03/08 Sun 10/08 Sat 16/08 Sat 23/08 Sat 30/08 Sun 14/09 Sat 20/09 Sat 27/09 Sat 04/10 Sat 18/10 Sun 26/10 Sat 01/11 Sun 09/11 Sun 23/11 Sat 29/11 Sun 07/12 Sat 13/12 Sat 07/02 Sat 14/02 Sat 21/02 Sat 28/02 Sat 07/03 Sat 14/03 Sat 21/03 Sat 04/04 Sat 11/04 Sun 19/04 Sun 26/04 Sat 02/05 Sat 09/05 Sat 16/05 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +0.28 -0.29 -1.68 -2.04 -1.99 -1.17 -0.59 -0.65 +0.20 -0.60 -0.10 -2.06 -2.51 -1.31 -1.64 -0.94 -2.28 -4.10 -4.78 -4.41 -4.71 -5.19 -6.47 -6.85 -6.30 -9.01 -10.09 -9.59 -10.58 -11.06 -9.30 -11.06 +0.28 -0.57 -1.39 -0.36 +0.05 +0.82 +0.58 -0.06 +0.85 -0.80 +0.50 -1.96 -0.45 +1.20 -0.33 +0.70 -1.34 -1.82 -0.68 +0.37 -0.30 -0.48 -1.28 -0.38 +0.55 -2.71 -1.08 +0.50 -0.99 -0.48 +1.76 -1.76 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
1. FC Tatran Prešov: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 26/07 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2 1.72 +0.28 +0.28
Sun 03/08 MŠK Žilina 0 0.57 -0.57 -0.29
Sun 10/08 FC Spartak Trnava 0 1.39 -1.39 -1.68
Sat 16/08 DAC 1904 0 0.36 -0.36 -2.04
Sat 23/08 MFK Skalica 2 1.95 +0.05 -1.99
Sat 30/08 AS Trenčín 2 1.18 +0.82 -1.17
Sun 14/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 2 1.42 +0.58 -0.59
Sat 20/09 MFK Ružomberok 1 1.06 -0.06 -0.65
Sat 27/09 FC Košice 2 1.15 +0.85 +0.20
Sat 04/10 KFC Komárno 0 0.80 -0.80 -0.60
Sat 18/10 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 2 1.50 +0.50 -0.10
Sun 26/10 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1 2.96 -1.96 -2.06
Sat 01/11 MŠK Žilina 0 0.45 -0.45 -2.51
Sun 09/11 FC Spartak Trnava 2 0.80 +1.20 -1.31
Sun 23/11 DAC 1904 0 0.33 -0.33 -1.64
Sat 29/11 MFK Skalica 3 2.30 +0.70 -0.94
Sun 07/12 AS Trenčín 0 1.34 -1.34 -2.28
Sat 13/12 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0 1.82 -1.82 -4.10
Sat 07/02 MFK Ružomberok 0 0.68 -0.68 -4.78
Sat 14/02 FC Košice 1 0.63 +0.37 -4.41
Sat 21/02 KFC Komárno 1 1.30 -0.30 -4.71
Sat 28/02 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1 1.48 -0.48 -5.19
Sat 07/03 MFK Skalica 0 1.28 -1.28 -6.47
Sat 14/03 KFC Komárno 0 0.38 -0.38 -6.85
Sat 21/03 FC Košice 1 0.45 +0.55 -6.30
Sat 04/04 MFK Ružomberok 0 2.71 -2.71 -9.01
Sat 11/04 AS Trenčín 0 1.08 -1.08 -10.09
Sun 19/04 FC Košice 2 1.50 +0.50 -9.59
Sun 26/04 AS Trenčín 0 0.99 -0.99 -10.58
Sat 02/05 MFK Ružomberok 1 1.48 -0.48 -11.06
Sat 09/05 MFK Skalica 3 1.24 +1.76 -9.30
Sat 16/05 KFC Komárno 0 1.76 -1.76 -11.06

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

1. FC Tatran Prešov xG trend

Current form -0.07 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 15 of 32 matches. The worst was against FC Košice on Sat 21/03 (-1.94).

npxG · last 6
1.34
npxGA · last 6
1.41
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.76 Sat 26/07 -0.65 Sun 03/08 -0.42 Sun 10/08 -0.30 Sat 16/08 +1.45 Sat 23/08 +0.23 Sat 30/08 +0.71 Sun 14/09 -0.73 Sat 20/09 -0.77 Sat 27/09 -0.77 Sat 04/10 +0.01 Sat 18/10 +2.59 Sun 26/10 -1.91 Sat 01/11 +0.35 Sun 09/11 -0.98 Sun 23/11 +0.43 Sat 29/11 +0.71 Sun 07/12 -0.25 Sat 13/12 -0.62 Sat 07/02 -0.46 Sat 14/02 +0.11 Sat 21/02 -1.03 Sat 28/02 -0.11 Sat 07/03 +0.10 Sat 14/03 -1.94 Sat 21/03 +1.72 Sat 04/04 -1.03 Sat 11/04 +0.89 Sun 19/04 -1.39 Sun 26/04 -0.42 Sat 02/05 +1.20 Sat 09/05 +0.35 Sat 16/05 -0.07 season avg
1. FC Tatran Prešov: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 26/07 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.72 0.96 +0.76 +0.76
Sun 03/08 MŠK Žilina 0.57 1.22 -0.65 +0.06
Sun 10/08 FC Spartak Trnava 1.39 1.81 -0.42 -0.10
Sat 16/08 DAC 1904 0.36 0.66 -0.30 -0.15
Sat 23/08 MFK Skalica 1.95 0.50 +1.45 +0.17
Sat 30/08 AS Trenčín 1.18 0.95 +0.23 +0.18
Sun 14/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.42 0.71 +0.71 +0.25
Sat 20/09 MFK Ružomberok 1.06 1.79 -0.73 +0.13
Sat 27/09 FC Košice 1.15 1.92 -0.77 +0.03
Sat 04/10 KFC Komárno 0.80 1.57 -0.77 -0.05
Sat 18/10 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.50 1.49 +0.01 -0.04
Sun 26/10 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.96 0.37 +2.59 +0.18
Sat 01/11 MŠK Žilina 0.45 2.36 -1.91 +0.02
Sun 09/11 FC Spartak Trnava 0.80 0.45 +0.35 +0.04
Sun 23/11 DAC 1904 0.33 1.31 -0.98 -0.03
Sat 29/11 MFK Skalica 2.30 1.87 +0.43 +0.00
Sun 07/12 AS Trenčín 1.34 0.63 +0.71 +0.04
Sat 13/12 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.82 2.07 -0.25 +0.03
Sat 07/02 MFK Ružomberok 0.68 1.30 -0.62 -0.01
Sat 14/02 FC Košice 0.63 1.09 -0.46 -0.03
Sat 21/02 KFC Komárno 1.30 1.19 +0.11 -0.02
Sat 28/02 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.48 2.51 -1.03 -0.07
Sat 07/03 MFK Skalica 1.28 1.39 -0.11 -0.07
Sat 14/03 KFC Komárno 0.38 0.28 +0.10 -0.06
Sat 21/03 FC Košice 0.45 2.39 -1.94 -0.14
Sat 04/04 MFK Ružomberok 2.71 0.99 +1.72 -0.07
Sat 11/04 AS Trenčín 1.08 2.11 -1.03 -0.10
Sun 19/04 FC Košice 1.50 0.61 +0.89 -0.07
Sun 26/04 AS Trenčín 0.99 2.38 -1.39 -0.11
Sat 02/05 MFK Ružomberok 1.48 1.90 -0.42 -0.12
Sat 09/05 MFK Skalica 1.24 0.04 +1.20 -0.08
Sat 16/05 KFC Komárno 1.76 1.41 +0.35 -0.07

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.25 npxG and 1.32 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 10 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 32 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
−0.17 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · number 10 hardest of 12

  1. KFC Komárno Away 0.00
  2. MFK Skalica Home −0.28
  3. MFK Ružomberok Away −0.33
  4. AS Trenčín Home −0.28
  5. FC Košice Home +0.04
  6. AS Trenčín Away −0.28
  7. MFK Ružomberok Home −0.33
  8. FC Košice Away +0.04
  9. KFC Komárno Home 0.00
  10. MFK Skalica Away −0.28
  11. FK Železiarne Podbrezová Away +0.16
  12. KFC Komárno Home 0.00
  13. FC Košice Home +0.04
  14. MFK Ružomberok Away −0.33
  15. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Home +0.03
  16. AS Trenčín Away −0.28
  17. MFK Skalica Home −0.28
  18. DAC 1904 Away +0.45
  19. FC Spartak Trnava Home +0.39
  20. MŠK Žilina Home +0.09
  21. ŠK Slovan Bratislava Away +0.22
  22. FK Železiarne Podbrezová Home +0.16
  23. KFC Komárno Away 0.00
  24. FC Košice Away +0.04
  25. MFK Ružomberok Home −0.33
  26. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Away +0.03
  27. AS Trenčín Home −0.28
  28. MFK Skalica Away −0.28
  29. DAC 1904 Home +0.45
  30. FC Spartak Trnava Away +0.39
  31. MŠK Žilina Away +0.09
  32. ŠK Slovan Bratislava Home +0.22

Last 5

−0.17 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 12

  1. KFC Komárno Away 0.00
  2. MFK Skalica Home −0.28
  3. MFK Ružomberok Away −0.33
  4. AS Trenčín Home −0.28
  5. FC Košice Home +0.04

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

1. FC Tatran Prešov shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. 1. FC Tatran Prešov take 12.2 shots a match (league 13.6) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #10 in Niké Liga (Slovakia) for volume and #10 for quality. 62% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.2 shots per match
#10/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 DAC 1904 17.7
#2 FC Košice 15.5
#3 FC Spartak Trnava 15.3
#4 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 13.9
#5 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 13.7
#6 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 13.4
#7 KFC Komárno 13.3
#8 AS Trenčín 12.8
#9 MŠK Žilina 12.8
#10 1. FC Tatran Prešov 12.2
#11 MFK Skalica 11.5
#12 MFK Ružomberok 10.7
League avg
13.6
Total
390 shots from 32 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#10/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 MŠK Žilina 0.13
#2 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.13
#3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.12
#4 KFC Komárno 0.12
#5 MFK Ružomberok 0.11
#6 FC Spartak Trnava 0.11
#7 FC Košice 0.11
#8 DAC 1904 0.11
#9 AS Trenčín 0.11
#10 1. FC Tatran Prešov 0.10
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.10
#12 MFK Skalica 0.10
League avg
0.11
Total
40.06 npxG from 390 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.5 shots per match
#6/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 10.9
#2 DAC 1904 11.6
#3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 12.7
#4 FC Košice 13.2
#5 KFC Komárno 13.3
#6 1. FC Tatran Prešov 13.5
#7 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 13.8
#8 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 13.9
#9 MFK Ružomberok 14.3
#10 MFK Skalica 14.6
#11 AS Trenčín 15.3
#12 MŠK Žilina 15.6
League avg
13.6
Total
431 shots allowed from 32 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#1/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 1. FC Tatran Prešov 0.10
#2 MŠK Žilina 0.10
#3 DAC 1904 0.10
#4 FC Spartak Trnava 0.11
#5 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.11
#6 KFC Komárno 0.11
#7 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.11
#8 MFK Ružomberok 0.12
#9 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.12
#10 MFK Skalica 0.12
#11 FC Košice 0.12
#12 AS Trenčín 0.12
League avg
0.11
Total
42.23 npxGA from 431 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

62% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 241 of 390 shots over 32 matches

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 269 of 431 shots allowed over 32 matches

How the shot figures are made →

1. FC Tatran Prešov home and away xG

1. FC Tatran Prešov per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 16
xG / match 1.25 1.26
xGA / match 1.20 1.44
xGD / match +0.05 -0.18
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.42 1.21

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every 1. FC Tatran Prešov match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
16
xG / match
1.26
xGA / match
1.44
xGD / match
-0.18
Points
12 of 48
  1. Sat 16/05 KFC Komárno A xG 1.76 xGA 1.41 xGD +0.35
  2. Sat 02/05 MFK Ružomberok A xG 1.48 xGA 1.90 xGD -0.42
  3. Sat 11/04 AS Trenčín A xG 1.08 xGA 2.11 xGD -1.03
  4. Sat 21/03 FC Košice A Weakest underlying xG 0.45 xGA 2.39 xGD -1.94
  5. Sat 07/03 MFK Skalica A xG 1.28 xGA 1.39 xGD -0.11
  6. Sat 28/02 FK Železiarne Podbrezová A xG 1.48 xGA 2.51 xGD -1.03
  7. Sat 07/02 MFK Ružomberok A xG 0.68 xGA 1.30 xGD -0.62
  8. Sun 07/12 AS Trenčín A xG 1.34 xGA 0.63 xGD +0.71
  9. Sun 23/11 DAC 1904 A xG 0.33 xGA 1.31 xGD -0.98
  10. Sun 26/10 ŠK Slovan Bratislava A Best underlying xG 2.96 xGA 0.37 xGD +2.59
  11. Sat 04/10 KFC Komárno A xG 0.80 xGA 1.57 xGD -0.77
  12. Sat 27/09 FC Košice A xG 1.15 xGA 1.92 xGD -0.77
  13. Sun 14/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce A xG 1.42 xGA 0.71 xGD +0.71
  14. Sat 23/08 MFK Skalica A xG 1.95 xGA 0.50 xGD +1.45
  15. Sun 10/08 FC Spartak Trnava A xG 1.39 xGA 1.81 xGD -0.42
  16. Sun 03/08 MŠK Žilina A xG 0.57 xGA 1.22 xGD -0.65

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

1. FC Tatran Prešov in Niké Liga (Slovakia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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