xgEdge

Friday, 27/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time
Match report · Premier Division (Ireland)

Derry City 4:2 Waterford FC

Derry City Home 2.59 xG
Waterford FC Away 1.44 xG
42 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Derry City Waterford FC
Shots
20
8
On target
12
5
Inside the box
16
6
xG per shot
0.13
0.18

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Derry City

1.29 xG created 0.72 xGA

  • W 0.89 created, 1.40 conceded against Waterford FC
  • W 0.60 created, 0.78 conceded against Shamrock Rovers
  • W 0.82 created, 0.15 conceded against Cork City
  • W 2.33 created, 0.23 conceded against Sligo Rovers
  • D 2.04 created, 0.53 conceded against Dundalk FC
  • L 1.05 created, 1.23 conceded against Bohemian FC
Waterford FC

1.33 xG created 1.48 xGA

  • L 1.40 created, 0.89 conceded against Derry City
  • D 1.53 created, 2.53 conceded against St. Patrick's Athletic
  • D 1.11 created, 1.42 conceded against Galway United
  • D 0.39 created, 1.88 conceded against Shelbourne
  • L 0.85 created, 1.29 conceded against Drogheda United
  • D 2.68 created, 0.89 conceded against Sligo Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.