xgEdge

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Crystal Palace

Arsenal Home 0.92 xG · 10 shots
Crystal Palace Away 0.45 xG · 7 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 39' Eberechi Eze Arsenal · 0.06 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Arsenal Crystal Palace
Shots
10
7
On target
3
1
Inside the box
7
5
xG per shot
0.09
0.07
Open play xG
0.16
0.44
Set-piece xG
0.78
0.05
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.96 for Arsenal and 0.50 for Crystal Palace.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Arsenal · Viktor Gyökeres · 68' · No goal · 2 m · 0.26 xG Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · 70' · No goal · 6 m · 0.23 xG Arsenal · Declan Rice · 50' · No goal · 6 m · 0.22 xG Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 79' · No goal · 11 m · 0.14 xG Arsenal · Leandro Trossard · 58' · No goal · 4 m · 0.12 xG Arsenal · Gabriel Magalhães · 50' · No goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 39' · Goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Arsenal · Leandro Trossard · 50' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 71' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 22' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Leandro Trossard · 33' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Crystal Palace · Marc Guéhi · 10' · No goal · 6 m · 0.03 xG Crystal Palace · Adam Wharton · 27' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 44' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 51' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Crystal Palace · Marc Guéhi · 80' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Crystal Palace · Maxence Lacroix · 90' · No goal · 31 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

17 shots · 1.43 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Arsenal
  • Crystal Palace
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Arsenal

1.65 xG created 0.52 xGA

  • L 0.49 created, 0.52 conceded against Liverpool
  • W 1.84 created, 0.20 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 0.89 created, 0.87 conceded against Manchester City
  • W 2.04 created, 0.61 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 2.77 created, 0.49 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 1.87 created, 0.44 conceded against Fulham
Crystal Palace

2.60 xG created 1.39 xGA

  • W 2.65 created, 1.14 conceded against Aston Villa
  • D 1.77 created, 0.36 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 2.31 created, 0.66 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 2.92 created, 2.14 conceded against Liverpool
  • L 1.53 created, 2.03 conceded against Everton
  • D 4.44 created, 2.03 conceded against Bournemouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.