xgEdge

Wednesday, 22/04/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Burnley 0:1 Manchester City

Burnley Home 0.63 xG · 9 shots
Manchester City Away 3.36 xG · 28 shots
01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 5' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.40 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Burnley Manchester City
Shots
9
28
On target
1
9
Inside the box
6
19
xG per shot
0.07
0.11
Open play xG
0.54
3.00
Set-piece xG
0.05
0.21
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.59 for Burnley and 3.20 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 4' · No goal · 9 m · 0.47 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 5' · Goal · 9 m · 0.40 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.31 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 80' · No goal · 9 m · 0.20 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 16' · No goal · 13 m · 0.19 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 55' · No goal · 10 m · 0.19 xG Manchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 49' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Manchester City · Savinho · 70' · No goal · 8 m · 0.13 xG Burnley · Quilindschy Hartman · 7' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 8' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 47' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Bernardo Silva · 89' · No goal · 19 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 89' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Bernardo Silva · 2' · No goal · 14 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 4' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Bernardo Silva · 20' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 28' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 29' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 3' · No goal · 16 m · 0.07 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 19' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Burnley · Lyle Foster · 76' · No goal · 17 m · 0.06 xG Manchester City · Jérémy Doku · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 9' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 25' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Rayan Aït-Nouri · 35' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Burnley · Hjalmar Ekdal · 45' · No goal · 3 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 84' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 25' · No goal · 3 m · 0.04 xG Manchester City · Jérémy Doku · 59' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · James Ward-Prowse · 61' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Manchester City · Rayan Aït-Nouri · 43' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 71' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Nico González · 86' · No goal · 17 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Loum Tchaouna · 51' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Burnley · Quilindschy Hartman · 61' · No goal · 57 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

37 shots · 3.80 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Burnley
  • Manchester City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Burnley

0.90 xG created 2.05 xGA

  • L 0.97 created, 1.94 conceded against Brentford
  • L 0.79 created, 1.10 conceded against Everton
  • D 1.14 created, 2.88 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.24 created, 3.23 conceded against Fulham
  • L 0.88 created, 1.93 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • L 0.36 created, 1.19 conceded against Nottingham Forest
Manchester City

1.82 xG created 1.05 xGA

  • W 1.35 created, 0.58 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.77 created, 1.47 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 2.02 created, 0.97 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 2.12 created, 0.54 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 2.29 created, 1.14 conceded against Chelsea
  • W 1.36 created, 1.62 conceded against Arsenal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Burnley: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.