Liverpool 1:2 Manchester United: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Liverpool Home 2.75 xG · 19 shots

Manchester United Away 1.34 xG · 12 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

2' Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United · 0.22 xG chance 0–1
78' Cody Gakpo Liverpool · 0.97 xG chance 1–1
84' Harry Maguire Manchester United · 0.09 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Liverpool Manchester United

Shots: 19; 12
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 16; 10
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.11
Open play xG: 2.36; 0.81
Set-piece xG: 0.46; 0.53
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.75 for Liverpool.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 4.16 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Liverpool
Manchester United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Liverpool

1.47 xG created 1.04 xGA

W 0.69 created, 0.98 conceded against Newcastle United
W 0.52 created, 0.49 conceded against Arsenal
W 2.65 created, 0.13 conceded against Burnley
W 0.90 created, 0.70 conceded against Everton
L 2.14 created, 2.92 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.95 created, 1.00 conceded against Chelsea

Manchester United

2.07 xG created 1.45 xGA

D 1.63 created, 1.76 conceded against Fulham
W 3.54 created, 1.20 conceded against Burnley
L 1.52 created, 2.63 conceded against Manchester City
W 1.84 created, 0.43 conceded against Chelsea
L 2.03 created, 1.99 conceded against Brentford
W 1.88 created, 0.71 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.