Manchester United 3:2 Burnley: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Manchester United Home 3.54 xG · 27 shots

Burnley Away 1.20 xG · 6 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

27' Josh Cullen (o.g.) Manchester United 1–0
55' Lyle Foster Burnley · 0.49 xG chance 1–1
57' Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United · 0.51 xG chance 2–1
66' Jaidon Anthony Burnley · 0.40 xG chance 2–2
90' Bruno Fernandes (pen.) Manchester United · 0.82 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Manchester United Burnley

Shots: 27; 6
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 19; 5
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.21
Open play xG: 2.14; 0.59
Set-piece xG: 0.59; 0.65
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.75 for Manchester United and 1.25 for Burnley.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

33 shots · 4.79 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester United
Burnley
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester United

1.58 xG created 1.54 xGA

L 1.52 created, 1.31 conceded against Arsenal
D 1.63 created, 1.76 conceded against Fulham

Burnley

0.97 xG created 1.55 xGA

L 0.94 created, 2.32 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.00 created, 0.77 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.