Manchester City 1:2 Aston Villa: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 24/05/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Manchester City Home 1.34 xG · 16 shots

Aston Villa Away 1.77 xG · 12 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

23' Antoine Semenyo Manchester City · 0.18 xG chance 1–0
47' Ollie Watkins Aston Villa · 0.29 xG chance 1–1
62' Ollie Watkins Aston Villa · 0.53 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Manchester City Aston Villa

Shots: 16; 12
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 10; 9
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.65; 0.85
Set-piece xG: 0.61; 0.82
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.25 for Manchester City and 1.67 for Aston Villa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.93 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester City
Aston Villa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester City

2.06 xG created 1.37 xGA

W 1.36 created, 1.62 conceded against Arsenal
W 3.36 created, 0.63 conceded against Burnley
D 1.54 created, 2.72 conceded against Everton
W 2.98 created, 0.24 conceded against Brentford
W 1.66 created, 0.73 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 1.48 created, 2.25 conceded against Bournemouth

Aston Villa

1.40 xG created 1.38 xGA

D 1.02 created, 1.15 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 2.84 created, 1.73 conceded against Sunderland
L 0.93 created, 1.18 conceded against Fulham
L 0.32 created, 0.99 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 1.44 created, 1.79 conceded against Burnley
W 1.85 created, 1.43 conceded against Liverpool

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Manchester City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Aston Villa 1:0 Manchester City 26/10/2025 xG 0.81 – 1.18

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.